Recent forecast model runs from agencies like MetService and international ensembles highlight uncertainty in Wellington's overnight minimum for September 12, driven by shifting wind patterns and variable cloud cover following a passing cold front. Clear skies could enhance radiative cooling and push the low toward 4°C or below, while increased cloud or northerly flow may limit cooling and support a milder reading near or above 10°C. Historical September baselines average 7–9°C lows, but current short-range guidance diverges on timing of southerlies and high pressure building, keeping trader-implied odds nearly even between the coldest and warmest bins. Updated model outputs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve much of this spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
9月12日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
4°C或以下 100%
14°C或以上 91%
8°C 40%
5°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
4°C或以下
100%
5°C
39%
6°C
39%
7°C
39%
8°C
40%
9°C
24%
10°C
21%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C或以上
91%
4°C或以下 100%
14°C或以上 91%
8°C 40%
5°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
4°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
5°C
$0 交易量
39%
6°C
$0 交易量
39%
7°C
$0 交易量
39%
8°C
$0 交易量
40%
9°C
$0 交易量
24%
10°C
$41 交易量
21%
11°C
$0 交易量
39%
12°C
$0 交易量
39%
13°C
$0 交易量
39%
14°C或以上
$0 交易量
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like MetService and international ensembles highlight uncertainty in Wellington's overnight minimum for September 12, driven by shifting wind patterns and variable cloud cover following a passing cold front. Clear skies could enhance radiative cooling and push the low toward 4°C or below, while increased cloud or northerly flow may limit cooling and support a milder reading near or above 10°C. Historical September baselines average 7–9°C lows, but current short-range guidance diverges on timing of southerlies and high pressure building, keeping trader-implied odds nearly even between the coldest and warmest bins. Updated model outputs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve much of this spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$41結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like MetService and international ensembles highlight uncertainty in Wellington's overnight minimum for September 12, driven by shifting wind patterns and variable cloud cover following a passing cold front. Clear skies could enhance radiative cooling and push the low toward 4°C or below, while increased cloud or northerly flow may limit cooling and support a milder reading near or above 10°C. Historical September baselines average 7–9°C lows, but current short-range guidance diverges on timing of southerlies and high pressure building, keeping trader-implied odds nearly even between the coldest and warmest bins. Updated model outputs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve much of this spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$41結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecast model runs from agencies like MetService and international ensembles highlight uncertainty in Wellington's overnight minimum for September 12, driven by shifting wind patterns and variable cloud cover following a passing cold front. Clear skies could enhance radiative cooling and push the low toward 4°C or below, while increased cloud or northerly flow may limit cooling and support a milder reading near or above 10°C. Historical September baselines average 7–9°C lows, but current short-range guidance diverges on timing of southerlies and high pressure building, keeping trader-implied odds nearly even between the coldest and warmest bins. Updated model outputs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve much of this spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions