Traders are centering on the latest MetService and global ensemble forecasts for Wellington’s overnight minimum on September 10, with implied probabilities clustering around 6–9°C. Spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically feature moderate temperatures moderated by the Tasman Sea and frequent westerly winds, limiting extreme radiative cooling. Recent high-pressure influences or clearer skies overnight could enhance cooling and support the lower end of that range, while increased cloud cover or a shift to northerly flow would favor readings near 9°C. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will provide the key data points that refine these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
9月10日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
4°C 98.8%
7°C 46%
8°C 27%
3°C或以下 1.0%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
3°C或以下
1%
4°C
99%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
46%
8°C
27%
9°C
49%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C或以上
<1%
4°C 98.8%
7°C 46%
8°C 27%
3°C或以下 1.0%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
3°C或以下
$101 交易量
1%
4°C
$66 交易量
99%
5°C
$45 交易量
<1%
6°C
$137 交易量
1%
7°C
$68 交易量
46%
8°C
$0 交易量
27%
9°C
$10 交易量
49%
10°C
$72 交易量
<1%
11°C
$28 交易量
<1%
12°C
$3 交易量
<1%
13°C或以上
$80 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are centering on the latest MetService and global ensemble forecasts for Wellington’s overnight minimum on September 10, with implied probabilities clustering around 6–9°C. Spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically feature moderate temperatures moderated by the Tasman Sea and frequent westerly winds, limiting extreme radiative cooling. Recent high-pressure influences or clearer skies overnight could enhance cooling and support the lower end of that range, while increased cloud cover or a shift to northerly flow would favor readings near 9°C. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will provide the key data points that refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$608結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are centering on the latest MetService and global ensemble forecasts for Wellington’s overnight minimum on September 10, with implied probabilities clustering around 6–9°C. Spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically feature moderate temperatures moderated by the Tasman Sea and frequent westerly winds, limiting extreme radiative cooling. Recent high-pressure influences or clearer skies overnight could enhance cooling and support the lower end of that range, while increased cloud cover or a shift to northerly flow would favor readings near 9°C. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will provide the key data points that refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$608結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETTraders are centering on the latest MetService and global ensemble forecasts for Wellington’s overnight minimum on September 10, with implied probabilities clustering around 6–9°C. Spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically feature moderate temperatures moderated by the Tasman Sea and frequent westerly winds, limiting extreme radiative cooling. Recent high-pressure influences or clearer skies overnight could enhance cooling and support the lower end of that range, while increased cloud cover or a shift to northerly flow would favor readings near 9°C. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will provide the key data points that refine these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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