Recent MetService and ensemble forecasts indicate minimum temperatures near 7–8°C for Wellington on September 11, following a cold front that has delivered southerly winds and light rain on the 10th. Clearing skies overnight are expected to limit further cooling, consistent with typical early-spring climatology where daily lows average 8–10°C. Trader positioning, with the strongest implied probability on 2°C or below, reflects assessment of forecast spread, including potential for enhanced radiational cooling or model revisions in the final runs before resolution. Key upcoming inputs include the next official forecast updates and real-time observations from Wellington stations on the 11th.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
9月11日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
2°C或以下 81%
4°C 40%
9°C 40%
7°C 24%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
2°C或以下
81%
3°C
14%
4°C
40%
5°C
22%
6°C
22%
7°C
24%
8°C
24%
9°C
40%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C或以上
<1%
2°C或以下 81%
4°C 40%
9°C 40%
7°C 24%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
2°C或以下
$0 交易量
81%
3°C
$0 交易量
14%
4°C
$0 交易量
40%
5°C
$0 交易量
22%
6°C
$0 交易量
22%
7°C
$0 交易量
24%
8°C
$38 交易量
24%
9°C
$34 交易量
40%
10°C
$15 交易量
<1%
11°C
$25 交易量
<1%
12°C或以上
$25 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and ensemble forecasts indicate minimum temperatures near 7–8°C for Wellington on September 11, following a cold front that has delivered southerly winds and light rain on the 10th. Clearing skies overnight are expected to limit further cooling, consistent with typical early-spring climatology where daily lows average 8–10°C. Trader positioning, with the strongest implied probability on 2°C or below, reflects assessment of forecast spread, including potential for enhanced radiational cooling or model revisions in the final runs before resolution. Key upcoming inputs include the next official forecast updates and real-time observations from Wellington stations on the 11th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$136結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and ensemble forecasts indicate minimum temperatures near 7–8°C for Wellington on September 11, following a cold front that has delivered southerly winds and light rain on the 10th. Clearing skies overnight are expected to limit further cooling, consistent with typical early-spring climatology where daily lows average 8–10°C. Trader positioning, with the strongest implied probability on 2°C or below, reflects assessment of forecast spread, including potential for enhanced radiational cooling or model revisions in the final runs before resolution. Key upcoming inputs include the next official forecast updates and real-time observations from Wellington stations on the 11th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$136結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent MetService and ensemble forecasts indicate minimum temperatures near 7–8°C for Wellington on September 11, following a cold front that has delivered southerly winds and light rain on the 10th. Clearing skies overnight are expected to limit further cooling, consistent with typical early-spring climatology where daily lows average 8–10°C. Trader positioning, with the strongest implied probability on 2°C or below, reflects assessment of forecast spread, including potential for enhanced radiational cooling or model revisions in the final runs before resolution. Key upcoming inputs include the next official forecast updates and real-time observations from Wellington stations on the 11th.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions