Ensemble forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate minimum temperatures in Warsaw on September 6 most likely between 11–13°C, reflecting trader consensus around those outcomes. Primary differentiating factors include overnight radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover, boundary-layer wind speeds, and urban heat retention effects, with slight model spread arising from subtle differences in simulated advection of cooler air masses. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows near 12°C, providing baseline context, while any late-day precipitation or clearer skies could shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C. Updated high-resolution model runs and official station data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will resolve the market as observations finalize.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日華沙的最低溫度？
9月6日華沙的最低溫度？
8°C或以下 49%
18°C或以上 42%
12°C 36%
13°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
8°C或以下
49%
9°C
7%
10°C
17%
11°C
32%
12°C
36%
13°C
29%
14°C
15%
15°C
14%
16°C
6%
17°C
3%
18°C或以上
42%
8°C或以下 49%
18°C或以上 42%
12°C 36%
13°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
8°C或以下
$3 交易量
49%
9°C
$0 交易量
7%
10°C
$2 交易量
17%
11°C
$0 交易量
32%
12°C
$0 交易量
36%
13°C
$3 交易量
29%
14°C
$0 交易量
15%
15°C
$0 交易量
14%
16°C
$0 交易量
6%
17°C
$0 交易量
3%
18°C或以上
$0 交易量
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate minimum temperatures in Warsaw on September 6 most likely between 11–13°C, reflecting trader consensus around those outcomes. Primary differentiating factors include overnight radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover, boundary-layer wind speeds, and urban heat retention effects, with slight model spread arising from subtle differences in simulated advection of cooler air masses. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows near 12°C, providing baseline context, while any late-day precipitation or clearer skies could shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C. Updated high-resolution model runs and official station data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will resolve the market as observations finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$8結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate minimum temperatures in Warsaw on September 6 most likely between 11–13°C, reflecting trader consensus around those outcomes. Primary differentiating factors include overnight radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover, boundary-layer wind speeds, and urban heat retention effects, with slight model spread arising from subtle differences in simulated advection of cooler air masses. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows near 12°C, providing baseline context, while any late-day precipitation or clearer skies could shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C. Updated high-resolution model runs and official station data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will resolve the market as observations finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETEnsemble forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate minimum temperatures in Warsaw on September 6 most likely between 11–13°C, reflecting trader consensus around those outcomes. Primary differentiating factors include overnight radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover, boundary-layer wind speeds, and urban heat retention effects, with slight model spread arising from subtle differences in simulated advection of cooler air masses. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows near 12°C, providing baseline context, while any late-day precipitation or clearer skies could shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C. Updated high-resolution model runs and official station data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will resolve the market as observations finalize.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions