Recent short-range forecasts from regional models and the Meteorological Service Singapore indicate a daily minimum near 26–27°C for September 14, consistent with the month’s climatological average low of about 25°C and prevailing southeasterly flow with scattered showers. This baseline supports elevated market-implied odds for the 25–28°C range, while the leading 46% probability on 22°C or below likely reflects trader assessment of forecast uncertainty, potential localized cooling from overnight convection, or rare historical September minima near 20°C. Above-normal regional temperatures projected for September 2026 provide limited downside risk, with next model runs and official updates expected to refine the exact threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於新加坡9月14日的最低溫度？
新加坡9月14日的最低溫度？
22°C或以下 46%
28°C 40%
29°C 40%
25°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
22°C或以下
46%
23°C
17%
24°C
3%
25°C
21%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C
32%
29°C
40%
30°C
18%
31°C
18%
32°C或以上
36%
22°C或以下 46%
28°C 40%
29°C 40%
25°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
22°C或以下
$0 交易量
46%
23°C
$0 交易量
17%
24°C
$20 交易量
3%
25°C
$13 交易量
21%
26°C
$13 交易量
22%
27°C
$0 交易量
22%
28°C
$5 交易量
32%
29°C
$0 交易量
40%
30°C
$0 交易量
18%
31°C
$0 交易量
18%
32°C或以上
$0 交易量
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from regional models and the Meteorological Service Singapore indicate a daily minimum near 26–27°C for September 14, consistent with the month’s climatological average low of about 25°C and prevailing southeasterly flow with scattered showers. This baseline supports elevated market-implied odds for the 25–28°C range, while the leading 46% probability on 22°C or below likely reflects trader assessment of forecast uncertainty, potential localized cooling from overnight convection, or rare historical September minima near 20°C. Above-normal regional temperatures projected for September 2026 provide limited downside risk, with next model runs and official updates expected to refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$51結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from regional models and the Meteorological Service Singapore indicate a daily minimum near 26–27°C for September 14, consistent with the month’s climatological average low of about 25°C and prevailing southeasterly flow with scattered showers. This baseline supports elevated market-implied odds for the 25–28°C range, while the leading 46% probability on 22°C or below likely reflects trader assessment of forecast uncertainty, potential localized cooling from overnight convection, or rare historical September minima near 20°C. Above-normal regional temperatures projected for September 2026 provide limited downside risk, with next model runs and official updates expected to refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$51結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from regional models and the Meteorological Service Singapore indicate a daily minimum near 26–27°C for September 14, consistent with the month’s climatological average low of about 25°C and prevailing southeasterly flow with scattered showers. This baseline supports elevated market-implied odds for the 25–28°C range, while the leading 46% probability on 22°C or below likely reflects trader assessment of forecast uncertainty, potential localized cooling from overnight convection, or rare historical September minima near 20°C. Above-normal regional temperatures projected for September 2026 provide limited downside risk, with next model runs and official updates expected to refine the exact threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions