Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shenzhen's minimum temperature on September 13 will likely fall between 24–27°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and light easterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical monsoon climate. Thunderstorm activity and elevated dew points around 24–25°C further suppress temperature drops compared to clearer conditions. Trader consensus favoring 26–28°C aligns with model consensus on these factors, while lower outcomes like 24°C or below reflect uncertainty in localized cooling if rain diminishes. Official measurements from monitoring stations will resolve the market, with final data releases expected shortly after midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日深圳最低溫度?
24°C 100%
22°C 84%
28°C 54.3%
23°C 48%
21°C或以下
15%
22°C
84%
23°C
48%
24°C
100%
25°C
38%
26°C
39%
27°C
47%
28°C
54%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
24°C 100%
22°C 84%
28°C 54.3%
23°C 48%
21°C或以下
15%
22°C
84%
23°C
48%
24°C
100%
25°C
38%
26°C
39%
27°C
47%
28°C
54%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shenzhen's minimum temperature on September 13 will likely fall between 24–27°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and light easterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical monsoon climate. Thunderstorm activity and elevated dew points around 24–25°C further suppress temperature drops compared to clearer conditions. Trader consensus favoring 26–28°C aligns with model consensus on these factors, while lower outcomes like 24°C or below reflect uncertainty in localized cooling if rain diminishes. Official measurements from monitoring stations will resolve the market, with final data releases expected shortly after midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions