Official National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport recorded a minimum of 55°F on August 29, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 54-55°F outcome at 100% implied probability. Persistent marine layer clouds, light patchy rain, and southwesterly flow suppressed both daytime heating and overnight radiational cooling, keeping temperatures near the late-August climatological average low of 56°F. These conditions reflect typical Pacific Northwest summer patterns influenced by the North Pacific high and onshore flow. A clearer sky or stronger offshore wind could have allowed greater cooling toward 50°F or below, but no such shift materialized in the verified data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日西雅圖的最低溫度?
54-55華氏度 100.0%
47°F或以下 <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$1,777 交易量
$1,777 交易量
47°F或以下
否
48-49°F
否
50-51°F
否
52-53°F
否
54-55華氏度
是
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66°F或以上
否
54-55華氏度 100.0%
47°F或以下 <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$1,777 交易量
$1,777 交易量
47°F或以下
否
48-49°F
否
50-51°F
否
52-53°F
否
54-55華氏度
是
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66°F或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport recorded a minimum of 55°F on August 29, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 54-55°F outcome at 100% implied probability. Persistent marine layer clouds, light patchy rain, and southwesterly flow suppressed both daytime heating and overnight radiational cooling, keeping temperatures near the late-August climatological average low of 56°F. These conditions reflect typical Pacific Northwest summer patterns influenced by the North Pacific high and onshore flow. A clearer sky or stronger offshore wind could have allowed greater cooling toward 50°F or below, but no such shift materialized in the verified data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions