Current forecasts from NOAA-aligned models indicate Miami's minimum temperature on September 14 will likely fall in the upper 70s, with overnight lows around 77–82°F amid scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80–85%, and light easterly winds. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling under a moist tropical air mass and partial cloud cover, keeping surface temperatures elevated compared to drier nights. The close market split between the 78–79°F and 76–77°F bins reflects model uncertainty in exact overnight minimums, influenced by variable thunderstorm timing and sea-surface temperatures that sustain warmth. Historical September averages for Miami hover near 76–78°F, providing context for the current trader consensus on these tightly contested outcomes. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings tomorrow morning will offer the next key data points.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日邁阿密的最低溫度?
78-79°F 42%
76-77華氏度 37%
70-71°F 16%
72-73°F 15%
69°F或以下
4%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
12%
76-77華氏度
37%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或更高
1%
78-79°F 42%
76-77華氏度 37%
70-71°F 16%
72-73°F 15%
69°F或以下
4%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
12%
76-77華氏度
37%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from NOAA-aligned models indicate Miami's minimum temperature on September 14 will likely fall in the upper 70s, with overnight lows around 77–82°F amid scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80–85%, and light easterly winds. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling under a moist tropical air mass and partial cloud cover, keeping surface temperatures elevated compared to drier nights. The close market split between the 78–79°F and 76–77°F bins reflects model uncertainty in exact overnight minimums, influenced by variable thunderstorm timing and sea-surface temperatures that sustain warmth. Historical September averages for Miami hover near 76–78°F, providing context for the current trader consensus on these tightly contested outcomes. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings tomorrow morning will offer the next key data points.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions