Recent observational data and forecast models from agencies like Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate Mexico City's September 4 overnight low settled near 12–13°C amid typical high-elevation radiative cooling at roughly 2,240 meters, moderate cloud cover limiting further drops, and light winds reducing mixing. September climatology shows average minima around 10°C with frequent 12–14°C readings during the rainy season transition, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 12°C. The notable share for 7°C or below reflects residual uncertainty in localized urban heat island effects versus clear-sky episodes or model spread in temperature inversions. Updated surface observations and station reports will resolve the exact threshold once fully processed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日墨西哥城的最低溫度？
9月4日墨西哥城的最低溫度？
12°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 20%
11°C 5%
10°C 2%
$5,493 交易量
$5,493 交易量
2026-09-04
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或更高
否
12°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 20%
11°C 5%
10°C 2%
$5,493 交易量
$5,493 交易量
2026-09-04
7°C或以下
$122 交易量
否
8°C
$161 交易量
否
9°C
$239 交易量
否
10°C
$228 交易量
否
11°C
$74 交易量
否
12°C
$4,086 交易量
是
13°C
$84 交易量
否
14°C
$89 交易量
否
15°C
$124 交易量
否
16°C
$179 交易量
否
17°C或更高
$107 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from agencies like Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate Mexico City's September 4 overnight low settled near 12–13°C amid typical high-elevation radiative cooling at roughly 2,240 meters, moderate cloud cover limiting further drops, and light winds reducing mixing. September climatology shows average minima around 10°C with frequent 12–14°C readings during the rainy season transition, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 12°C. The notable share for 7°C or below reflects residual uncertainty in localized urban heat island effects versus clear-sky episodes or model spread in temperature inversions. Updated surface observations and station reports will resolve the exact threshold once fully processed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$5,493結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from agencies like Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate Mexico City's September 4 overnight low settled near 12–13°C amid typical high-elevation radiative cooling at roughly 2,240 meters, moderate cloud cover limiting further drops, and light winds reducing mixing. September climatology shows average minima around 10°C with frequent 12–14°C readings during the rainy season transition, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 12°C. The notable share for 7°C or below reflects residual uncertainty in localized urban heat island effects versus clear-sky episodes or model spread in temperature inversions. Updated surface observations and station reports will resolve the exact threshold once fully processed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,493結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent observational data and forecast models from agencies like Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate Mexico City's September 4 overnight low settled near 12–13°C amid typical high-elevation radiative cooling at roughly 2,240 meters, moderate cloud cover limiting further drops, and light winds reducing mixing. September climatology shows average minima around 10°C with frequent 12–14°C readings during the rainy season transition, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 12°C. The notable share for 7°C or below reflects residual uncertainty in localized urban heat island effects versus clear-sky episodes or model spread in temperature inversions. Updated surface observations and station reports will resolve the exact threshold once fully processed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions