Trader consensus around 24–27°C for Manila’s lowest temperature on September 13 reflects PAGASA and global model guidance showing overnight lows near 24–26°C amid the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms suppress radiative cooling while high humidity (often above 85%) and light winds limit overnight drops, keeping minima close to seasonal norms of 25°C. Scattered showers and urban heat retention further stabilize readings near these levels, with only modest model spread on exact minimums. Traders weigh these atmospheric conditions against historical September data, where clear spells can occasionally allow brief dips toward 23°C but rarely lower without stronger northeasterly flow or a passing disturbance. Updated PAGASA forecasts and final station observations will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
9月13日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
19°C或以下 92%
26°C 52%
27°C 49%
24°C 48%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
19°C或以下
92%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
16%
24°C
48%
25°C
50%
26°C
52%
27°C
49%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
19°C或以下 92%
26°C 52%
27°C 49%
24°C 48%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
19°C或以下
$0 交易量
92%
20°C
$75 交易量
2%
21°C
$75 交易量
2%
22°C
$79 交易量
3%
23°C
$72 交易量
16%
24°C
$0 交易量
48%
25°C
$5 交易量
50%
26°C
$0 交易量
52%
27°C
$40 交易量
49%
28°C
$0 交易量
<1%
29°C或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 24–27°C for Manila’s lowest temperature on September 13 reflects PAGASA and global model guidance showing overnight lows near 24–26°C amid the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms suppress radiative cooling while high humidity (often above 85%) and light winds limit overnight drops, keeping minima close to seasonal norms of 25°C. Scattered showers and urban heat retention further stabilize readings near these levels, with only modest model spread on exact minimums. Traders weigh these atmospheric conditions against historical September data, where clear spells can occasionally allow brief dips toward 23°C but rarely lower without stronger northeasterly flow or a passing disturbance. Updated PAGASA forecasts and final station observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$345結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 24–27°C for Manila’s lowest temperature on September 13 reflects PAGASA and global model guidance showing overnight lows near 24–26°C amid the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms suppress radiative cooling while high humidity (often above 85%) and light winds limit overnight drops, keeping minima close to seasonal norms of 25°C. Scattered showers and urban heat retention further stabilize readings near these levels, with only modest model spread on exact minimums. Traders weigh these atmospheric conditions against historical September data, where clear spells can occasionally allow brief dips toward 23°C but rarely lower without stronger northeasterly flow or a passing disturbance. Updated PAGASA forecasts and final station observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$345結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETTrader consensus around 24–27°C for Manila’s lowest temperature on September 13 reflects PAGASA and global model guidance showing overnight lows near 24–26°C amid the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms suppress radiative cooling while high humidity (often above 85%) and light winds limit overnight drops, keeping minima close to seasonal norms of 25°C. Scattered showers and urban heat retention further stabilize readings near these levels, with only modest model spread on exact minimums. Traders weigh these atmospheric conditions against historical September data, where clear spells can occasionally allow brief dips toward 23°C but rarely lower without stronger northeasterly flow or a passing disturbance. Updated PAGASA forecasts and final station observations will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions