**Trader consensus on a 32°C high for Manila on September 13, 2026, reflects alignment between current official forecasts and long-term climatology.** Mid-September typically features daily maxima of 30–32°C under the southwest monsoon regime, with high humidity, frequent afternoon thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover that curbs solar heating. Multiple model runs and station data show peak temperatures reaching but not exceeding this level amid scattered convection and light winds. This market-implied outcome draws from the wisdom of crowds incorporating real-time observations and agency guidance, where traders weigh the narrow historical range for the date. Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected break in cloud cover or delayed rainfall that could push readings to 33°C or above, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
9月13日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
32°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$23,437 交易量
$23,437 交易量
2026-09-13
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
32°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$23,437 交易量
$23,437 交易量
2026-09-13
24°C或以下
$247 交易量
<1%
25°C
$287 交易量
<1%
26°C
$275 交易量
<1%
27°C
$113 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,249 交易量
<1%
29°C
$2,635 交易量
<1%
30°C
$2,072 交易量
<1%
31°C
$4,964 交易量
<1%
32°C
$5,965 交易量
100%
33°C
$3,619 交易量
<1%
34°C或以上
$2,011 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 32°C high for Manila on September 13, 2026, reflects alignment between current official forecasts and long-term climatology.** Mid-September typically features daily maxima of 30–32°C under the southwest monsoon regime, with high humidity, frequent afternoon thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover that curbs solar heating. Multiple model runs and station data show peak temperatures reaching but not exceeding this level amid scattered convection and light winds.
This market-implied outcome draws from the wisdom of crowds incorporating real-time observations and agency guidance, where traders weigh the narrow historical range for the date. Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected break in cloud cover or delayed rainfall that could push readings to 33°C or above, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$23,437結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 32°C high for Manila on September 13, 2026, reflects alignment between current official forecasts and long-term climatology.** Mid-September typically features daily maxima of 30–32°C under the southwest monsoon regime, with high humidity, frequent afternoon thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover that curbs solar heating. Multiple model runs and station data show peak temperatures reaching but not exceeding this level amid scattered convection and light winds.
This market-implied outcome draws from the wisdom of crowds incorporating real-time observations and agency guidance, where traders weigh the narrow historical range for the date. Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected break in cloud cover or delayed rainfall that could push readings to 33°C or above, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$23,437結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Trader consensus on a 32°C high for Manila on September 13, 2026, reflects alignment between current official forecasts and long-term climatology.** Mid-September typically features daily maxima of 30–32°C under the southwest monsoon regime, with high humidity, frequent afternoon thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover that curbs solar heating. Multiple model runs and station data show peak temperatures reaching but not exceeding this level amid scattered convection and light winds. This market-implied outcome draws from the wisdom of crowds incorporating real-time observations and agency guidance, where traders weigh the narrow historical range for the date. Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected break in cloud cover or delayed rainfall that could push readings to 33°C or above, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions