Madrid's minimum temperature on September 5 is shaped by clear to partly cloudy nocturnal conditions allowing efficient radiative cooling under a high-pressure ridge, with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs placing the overnight low near or below 24°C amid dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and light northeasterly flow. Historical climatology for early September shows average lows around 17°C, though recent warm anomalies have kept values elevated; current surface observations and short-range guidance confirm the market-implied outcome near 99.8% as traders incorporate the latest 00Z–12Z model runs. A sudden increase in low-level moisture or unexpected warm advection from the southwest could push the minimum above 24°C, but such shifts appear unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日馬德裏最低氣溫？
9月5日馬德裏最低氣溫？
24°C或以下 99.8%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
24°C或以下
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
24°C或以下 99.8%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
24°C或以下
$222 交易量
100%
25°C
$359 交易量
<1%
26°C
$64 交易量
<1%
27°C
$20 交易量
<1%
28°C
$20 交易量
<1%
29°C
$20 交易量
<1%
30°C
$20 交易量
<1%
31°C
$20 交易量
<1%
32°C
$20 交易量
<1%
33°C
$20 交易量
<1%
34°C或更高
$20 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Madrid's minimum temperature on September 5 is shaped by clear to partly cloudy nocturnal conditions allowing efficient radiative cooling under a high-pressure ridge, with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs placing the overnight low near or below 24°C amid dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and light northeasterly flow. Historical climatology for early September shows average lows around 17°C, though recent warm anomalies have kept values elevated; current surface observations and short-range guidance confirm the market-implied outcome near 99.8% as traders incorporate the latest 00Z–12Z model runs. A sudden increase in low-level moisture or unexpected warm advection from the southwest could push the minimum above 24°C, but such shifts appear unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$805結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Madrid's minimum temperature on September 5 is shaped by clear to partly cloudy nocturnal conditions allowing efficient radiative cooling under a high-pressure ridge, with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs placing the overnight low near or below 24°C amid dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and light northeasterly flow. Historical climatology for early September shows average lows around 17°C, though recent warm anomalies have kept values elevated; current surface observations and short-range guidance confirm the market-implied outcome near 99.8% as traders incorporate the latest 00Z–12Z model runs. A sudden increase in low-level moisture or unexpected warm advection from the southwest could push the minimum above 24°C, but such shifts appear unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$805結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETMadrid's minimum temperature on September 5 is shaped by clear to partly cloudy nocturnal conditions allowing efficient radiative cooling under a high-pressure ridge, with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs placing the overnight low near or below 24°C amid dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and light northeasterly flow. Historical climatology for early September shows average lows around 17°C, though recent warm anomalies have kept values elevated; current surface observations and short-range guidance confirm the market-implied outcome near 99.8% as traders incorporate the latest 00Z–12Z model runs. A sudden increase in low-level moisture or unexpected warm advection from the southwest could push the minimum above 24°C, but such shifts appear unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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