Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for coastal Los Angeles point to a minimum near 64°F overnight into September 5, driven by clear to mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and the moderating influence of the marine layer that limits radiational cooling. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64.5°F for the date and recent observations showing overnight lows of 64–67°F amid stable high pressure. Traders have priced the 64–65°F bin highest because ensemble forecasts show little deviation from this baseline, with only modest uncertainty from potential thin cloud cover or slight shifts in onshore flow that could nudge the reading a degree either way. Stronger cooling would require atypical cold-air advection absent from current patterns, keeping lower bins at minimal implied probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯9月5日的最低溫度？
洛杉磯9月5日的最低溫度？
58-59°F 99%
64-65°F 87%
60-61°F 18%
56-57°F <1%
$575 交易量
$575 交易量
2026-09-05
華氏55度或以下
-
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
99%
60-61°F
18%
62-63°F
43%
64-65°F
87%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71華氏度
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
華氏74度或以上
<1%
58-59°F 99%
64-65°F 87%
60-61°F 18%
56-57°F <1%
$575 交易量
$575 交易量
2026-09-05
華氏55度或以下
$19 交易量
-
56-57°F
$37 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$32 交易量
99%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
18%
62-63°F
$13 交易量
43%
64-65°F
$14 交易量
87%
66-67°F
$214 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$109 交易量
<1%
70-71華氏度
$54 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$47 交易量
<1%
華氏74度或以上
$36 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for coastal Los Angeles point to a minimum near 64°F overnight into September 5, driven by clear to mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and the moderating influence of the marine layer that limits radiational cooling. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64.5°F for the date and recent observations showing overnight lows of 64–67°F amid stable high pressure. Traders have priced the 64–65°F bin highest because ensemble forecasts show little deviation from this baseline, with only modest uncertainty from potential thin cloud cover or slight shifts in onshore flow that could nudge the reading a degree either way. Stronger cooling would require atypical cold-air advection absent from current patterns, keeping lower bins at minimal implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
交易量
$575結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 7:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for coastal Los Angeles point to a minimum near 64°F overnight into September 5, driven by clear to mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and the moderating influence of the marine layer that limits radiational cooling. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64.5°F for the date and recent observations showing overnight lows of 64–67°F amid stable high pressure. Traders have priced the 64–65°F bin highest because ensemble forecasts show little deviation from this baseline, with only modest uncertainty from potential thin cloud cover or slight shifts in onshore flow that could nudge the reading a degree either way. Stronger cooling would require atypical cold-air advection absent from current patterns, keeping lower bins at minimal implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$575結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 7:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance for coastal Los Angeles point to a minimum near 64°F overnight into September 5, driven by clear to mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and the moderating influence of the marine layer that limits radiational cooling. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64.5°F for the date and recent observations showing overnight lows of 64–67°F amid stable high pressure. Traders have priced the 64–65°F bin highest because ensemble forecasts show little deviation from this baseline, with only modest uncertainty from potential thin cloud cover or slight shifts in onshore flow that could nudge the reading a degree either way. Stronger cooling would require atypical cold-air advection absent from current patterns, keeping lower bins at minimal implied probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions