**Market consensus heavily favors 78-79°F as the lowest temperature in Houston on August 23, 2026, at 95.5% implied probability.** This reflects National Weather Service forecasts projecting an overnight low near 79°F under mostly clear skies with light southwest winds, consistent with the region's late-summer pattern of high humidity limiting radiative cooling. Average August lows hover around 77°F, but current conditions—marked by elevated heat indices and southerly flow—support slightly warmer minima, aligning with model consensus from sources like AccuWeather showing overnight ranges of 74-81°F. No significant fronts or tropical influences are expected to disrupt this setup in the short term. A rapid shift in cloud cover, unexpected precipitation, or an unforecasted boundary could introduce modest cooling and challenge the outcome, though such scenarios remain low-probability given persistent atmospheric stability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日休斯敦的最低溫度?
78-79°F 96%
華氏71度或以下 9%
72-73°F 9%
74-75°F 5%
$1,722 交易量
$1,722 交易量
華氏71度或以下
9%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
96%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90度或以上
<1%
78-79°F 96%
華氏71度或以下 9%
72-73°F 9%
74-75°F 5%
$1,722 交易量
$1,722 交易量
華氏71度或以下
9%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
96%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90度或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Market consensus heavily favors 78-79°F as the lowest temperature in Houston on August 23, 2026, at 95.5% implied probability.** This reflects National Weather Service forecasts projecting an overnight low near 79°F under mostly clear skies with light southwest winds, consistent with the region's late-summer pattern of high humidity limiting radiative cooling. Average August lows hover around 77°F, but current conditions—marked by elevated heat indices and southerly flow—support slightly warmer minima, aligning with model consensus from sources like AccuWeather showing overnight ranges of 74-81°F. No significant fronts or tropical influences are expected to disrupt this setup in the short term. A rapid shift in cloud cover, unexpected precipitation, or an unforecasted boundary could introduce modest cooling and challenge the outcome, though such scenarios remain low-probability given persistent atmospheric stability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions