Recent National Weather Service guidance and local model consensus point to a high near 98–100°F for Houston on August 24 under persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and minimal afternoon sea-breeze cooling, keeping the market’s heaviest volume on the 98-99°F and 100-101°F bins. Afternoon dew points in the mid-70s will support heat indices well above air temperature, while any scattered convection remains too isolated to substantially suppress the peak reading. This aligns with the ongoing late-August pattern that has already produced several 100°F+ days this month at Hobby Airport, though slightly stronger onshore flow or earlier cloud cover could trim the high into the upper 90s. Updated model runs and the 8 a.m. NWS forecast discussion tomorrow will be the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning ahead of the official KHOU observation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日休斯敦的最高溫度?
98-99°F 56%
華氏100-101度 28%
96-97°F 11%
102-103°F 5%
華氏91度或以下
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
11%
98-99°F
56%
華氏100-101度
28%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F或更高
<1%
98-99°F 56%
華氏100-101度 28%
96-97°F 11%
102-103°F 5%
華氏91度或以下
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
11%
98-99°F
56%
華氏100-101度
28%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service guidance and local model consensus point to a high near 98–100°F for Houston on August 24 under persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and minimal afternoon sea-breeze cooling, keeping the market’s heaviest volume on the 98-99°F and 100-101°F bins. Afternoon dew points in the mid-70s will support heat indices well above air temperature, while any scattered convection remains too isolated to substantially suppress the peak reading. This aligns with the ongoing late-August pattern that has already produced several 100°F+ days this month at Hobby Airport, though slightly stronger onshore flow or earlier cloud cover could trim the high into the upper 90s. Updated model runs and the 8 a.m. NWS forecast discussion tomorrow will be the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning ahead of the official KHOU observation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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