Persistent high pressure and a warm, moist air mass with dew points near 70°F kept overnight minima elevated across Houston on August 22, producing the tight split between the 80-81°F (51.4%) and 78-79°F (49.4%) bins. Subtle differences in model depictions of dew-point depression, timing of any residual cloud cover, and urban heat-island retention explain why probabilities remain nearly even rather than converging on a single range. Official observations from stations such as William P. Hobby Airport show recent lows clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with August climatology but above the long-term average low near 77°F. Updated post-event data releases will determine final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日休斯敦的最低溫度？
8月22日休斯敦的最低溫度？
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$3,490 交易量
$3,490 交易量
2026-08-22
71°F或以下
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
是
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
華氏90度或以上
否
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$3,490 交易量
$3,490 交易量
2026-08-22
71°F或以下
$197 交易量
否
72-73°F
$182 交易量
否
74-75°F
$252 交易量
否
76-77°F
$147 交易量
否
78-79°F
$800 交易量
否
80-81°F
$1,053 交易量
是
82-83°F
$270 交易量
否
84-85°F
$145 交易量
否
86-87°F
$161 交易量
否
88-89°F
$157 交易量
否
華氏90度或以上
$127 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a warm, moist air mass with dew points near 70°F kept overnight minima elevated across Houston on August 22, producing the tight split between the 80-81°F (51.4%) and 78-79°F (49.4%) bins. Subtle differences in model depictions of dew-point depression, timing of any residual cloud cover, and urban heat-island retention explain why probabilities remain nearly even rather than converging on a single range. Official observations from stations such as William P. Hobby Airport show recent lows clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with August climatology but above the long-term average low near 77°F. Updated post-event data releases will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
交易量
$3,490結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a warm, moist air mass with dew points near 70°F kept overnight minima elevated across Houston on August 22, producing the tight split between the 80-81°F (51.4%) and 78-79°F (49.4%) bins. Subtle differences in model depictions of dew-point depression, timing of any residual cloud cover, and urban heat-island retention explain why probabilities remain nearly even rather than converging on a single range. Official observations from stations such as William P. Hobby Airport show recent lows clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with August climatology but above the long-term average low near 77°F. Updated post-event data releases will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,490結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Persistent high pressure and a warm, moist air mass with dew points near 70°F kept overnight minima elevated across Houston on August 22, producing the tight split between the 80-81°F (51.4%) and 78-79°F (49.4%) bins. Subtle differences in model depictions of dew-point depression, timing of any residual cloud cover, and urban heat-island retention explain why probabilities remain nearly even rather than converging on a single range. Official observations from stations such as William P. Hobby Airport show recent lows clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with August climatology but above the long-term average low near 77°F. Updated post-event data releases will determine final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions