Forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Cape Town’s September 13 minimum will likely settle near 14–16 °C under a cut-off low that delivers persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northwesterly winds. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while the marine influence and 80–90 % humidity further moderate overnight drops. Trader consensus clusters around 15 °C or 13 °C because small shifts in wind speed or brief clear intervals can alter the low by 1–2 °C, with official South African Weather Service guidance citing a 16 °C floor. Historical September minima average near 12 °C, yet the current synoptic setup favors milder values unless stronger radiational cooling develops late in the night.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦9月13日的最低溫度?
11°C或以下 88%
12°C 88%
15°C 55%
13°C 45%
$1,010 交易量
$1,010 交易量
11°C或以下
88%
12°C
88%
13°C
45%
14°C
5%
15°C
55%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或以上
<1%
11°C或以下 88%
12°C 88%
15°C 55%
13°C 45%
$1,010 交易量
$1,010 交易量
11°C或以下
88%
12°C
88%
13°C
45%
14°C
5%
15°C
55%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Cape Town’s September 13 minimum will likely settle near 14–16 °C under a cut-off low that delivers persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northwesterly winds. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while the marine influence and 80–90 % humidity further moderate overnight drops. Trader consensus clusters around 15 °C or 13 °C because small shifts in wind speed or brief clear intervals can alter the low by 1–2 °C, with official South African Weather Service guidance citing a 16 °C floor. Historical September minima average near 12 °C, yet the current synoptic setup favors milder values unless stronger radiational cooling develops late in the night.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions