Recent influx of polar maritime air into central Argentina, confirmed by Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and model consensus, has driven overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds, pushing the daily minimum well below seasonal norms of around 7–9 °C. With the 30 August low already recorded near or under 6 °C at official stations, market-implied odds reflect high-confidence trader assessment of verified data rather than uncertain projections. Only an unforecast warm advection event or measurement revision could alter resolution, scenarios models currently assign negligible probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度?
6°C或以下 99.6%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$2,569 交易量
$2,569 交易量
6°C或以下
100%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C或以上
<1%
6°C或以下 99.6%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$2,569 交易量
$2,569 交易量
6°C或以下
100%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent influx of polar maritime air into central Argentina, confirmed by Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and model consensus, has driven overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds, pushing the daily minimum well below seasonal norms of around 7–9 °C. With the 30 August low already recorded near or under 6 °C at official stations, market-implied odds reflect high-confidence trader assessment of verified data rather than uncertain projections. Only an unforecast warm advection event or measurement revision could alter resolution, scenarios models currently assign negligible probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions