Recent official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a mild late-winter day in Buenos Aires, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and no precipitation expected to support daytime warming. This setup positions the daily high near 21–22°C as the most probable outcome, aligning with current market-implied odds of 49% and 38.5% respectively. Afternoon temperatures have already approached 16–17°C under stable high pressure, consistent with seasonal August baselines around 18°C. Model consensus shows limited variability, though slight differences in cloud cover or wind strength could nudge readings toward the 20°C or 23°C thresholds if conditions evolve by evening. Updated observations through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of final measurement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
8月30日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
21°C 49%
22°C 39%
20°C 8%
23°C或更高 6%
$19,177 交易量
$19,177 交易量
2026-08-30
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
49%
22°C
39%
23°C或更高
6%
21°C 49%
22°C 39%
20°C 8%
23°C或更高 6%
$19,177 交易量
$19,177 交易量
2026-08-30
13°C或以下
$248 交易量
<1%
14°C
$238 交易量
<1%
15°C
$238 交易量
<1%
16°C
$408 交易量
<1%
17°C
$379 交易量
<1%
18°C
$488 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,513 交易量
2%
20°C
$2,491 交易量
8%
21°C
$3,898 交易量
49%
22°C
$5,440 交易量
39%
23°C或更高
$3,836 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a mild late-winter day in Buenos Aires, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and no precipitation expected to support daytime warming. This setup positions the daily high near 21–22°C as the most probable outcome, aligning with current market-implied odds of 49% and 38.5% respectively. Afternoon temperatures have already approached 16–17°C under stable high pressure, consistent with seasonal August baselines around 18°C. Model consensus shows limited variability, though slight differences in cloud cover or wind strength could nudge readings toward the 20°C or 23°C thresholds if conditions evolve by evening. Updated observations through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of final measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
交易量
$19,177結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a mild late-winter day in Buenos Aires, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and no precipitation expected to support daytime warming. This setup positions the daily high near 21–22°C as the most probable outcome, aligning with current market-implied odds of 49% and 38.5% respectively. Afternoon temperatures have already approached 16–17°C under stable high pressure, consistent with seasonal August baselines around 18°C. Model consensus shows limited variability, though slight differences in cloud cover or wind strength could nudge readings toward the 20°C or 23°C thresholds if conditions evolve by evening. Updated observations through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of final measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19,177結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETRecent official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a mild late-winter day in Buenos Aires, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and no precipitation expected to support daytime warming. This setup positions the daily high near 21–22°C as the most probable outcome, aligning with current market-implied odds of 49% and 38.5% respectively. Afternoon temperatures have already approached 16–17°C under stable high pressure, consistent with seasonal August baselines around 18°C. Model consensus shows limited variability, though slight differences in cloud cover or wind strength could nudge readings toward the 20°C or 23°C thresholds if conditions evolve by evening. Updated observations through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of final measurement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions