Latest numerical weather prediction models converge on a minimum near 14°C for Ankara on September 18, driven by overnight cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under high humidity. Forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and regional sources show overnight lows stabilizing around 14–15°C, with minor model spreads arising from differences in dew-point profiles and precipitation timing that could push readings to 13°C or hold them at 15°C. This aligns with September climatology for the region, where typical minima hover near 14°C, leaving traders to weigh the precise balance of these atmospheric variables ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日安卡拉最低溫度?
15°C 40%
12°C 38%
14°C 30%
13°C 28%
10°C或以下
4%
11°C
17%
12°C
38%
13°C
28%
14°C
30%
15°C
40%
16°C
19%
17°C
11%
18°C
7%
19°C
2%
20°C或以上
2%
15°C 40%
12°C 38%
14°C 30%
13°C 28%
10°C或以下
4%
11°C
17%
12°C
38%
13°C
28%
14°C
30%
15°C
40%
16°C
19%
17°C
11%
18°C
7%
19°C
2%
20°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather prediction models converge on a minimum near 14°C for Ankara on September 18, driven by overnight cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under high humidity. Forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and regional sources show overnight lows stabilizing around 14–15°C, with minor model spreads arising from differences in dew-point profiles and precipitation timing that could push readings to 13°C or hold them at 15°C. This aligns with September climatology for the region, where typical minima hover near 14°C, leaving traders to weigh the precise balance of these atmospheric variables ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions