Recent forecast runs from regional meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Ankara near 13–15°C on September 17, sustaining near-even market odds across the 11°C-or-below and low-to-mid teens bins. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from an advancing frontal system suppress nocturnal radiative cooling by enhancing downward longwave radiation, which raises overnight lows relative to clearer autumn nights. Precipitation timing and local urban effects introduce 1–2°C uncertainty in the final recorded minimum, with official stations potentially differing from suburban sites; updated model outputs through the day will clarify whether any brief clearing allows further cooling toward the lower thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日安卡拉最低溫度？
9月17日安卡拉最低溫度？
11°C或以下 93%
12°C 49%
14°C 49%
15°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
11°C或以下
93%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或更高
<1%
11°C或以下 93%
12°C 49%
14°C 49%
15°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
11°C或以下
$0 交易量
93%
12°C
$0 交易量
49%
13°C
$13 交易量
49%
14°C
$0 交易量
49%
15°C
$174 交易量
<1%
16°C
$394 交易量
<1%
17°C
$31 交易量
<1%
18°C
$57 交易量
<1%
19°C
$57 交易量
<1%
20°C
$41 交易量
<1%
21°C或更高
$41 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from regional meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Ankara near 13–15°C on September 17, sustaining near-even market odds across the 11°C-or-below and low-to-mid teens bins. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from an advancing frontal system suppress nocturnal radiative cooling by enhancing downward longwave radiation, which raises overnight lows relative to clearer autumn nights. Precipitation timing and local urban effects introduce 1–2°C uncertainty in the final recorded minimum, with official stations potentially differing from suburban sites; updated model outputs through the day will clarify whether any brief clearing allows further cooling toward the lower thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$808結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from regional meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Ankara near 13–15°C on September 17, sustaining near-even market odds across the 11°C-or-below and low-to-mid teens bins. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from an advancing frontal system suppress nocturnal radiative cooling by enhancing downward longwave radiation, which raises overnight lows relative to clearer autumn nights. Precipitation timing and local urban effects introduce 1–2°C uncertainty in the final recorded minimum, with official stations potentially differing from suburban sites; updated model outputs through the day will clarify whether any brief clearing allows further cooling toward the lower thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$808結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecast runs from regional meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Ankara near 13–15°C on September 17, sustaining near-even market odds across the 11°C-or-below and low-to-mid teens bins. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from an advancing frontal system suppress nocturnal radiative cooling by enhancing downward longwave radiation, which raises overnight lows relative to clearer autumn nights. Precipitation timing and local urban effects introduce 1–2°C uncertainty in the final recorded minimum, with official stations potentially differing from suburban sites; updated model outputs through the day will clarify whether any brief clearing allows further cooling toward the lower thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions