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世界·國際選舉道具

Jean-Lesage魁北克國民議會選舉優勝者

icon for Jean-Lesage魁北克國民議會選舉優勝者
世界·國際選舉道具

Jean-Lesage魁北克國民議會選舉優勝者

Claude Villeneuve 98%

Nathalie St-Pierre 97%

索爾·扎內蒂 97%

Gertrude Bourdon 97%

Polymarket
最新

Claude Villeneuve 98%

Nathalie St-Pierre 97%

索爾·扎內蒂 97%

Gertrude Bourdon 97%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Claude Villeneuve

Claude Villeneuve

$0 交易量

98%

icon for Nathalie St-Pierre

Nathalie St-Pierre

$0 交易量

97%

icon for 索爾·扎內蒂

索爾·扎內蒂

$0 交易量

97%

icon for Gertrude Bourdon

Gertrude Bourdon

$0 交易量

97%

icon for 南希·喬安妮特

南希·喬安妮特

$0 交易量

97%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Jean-Lesage riding in Quebec City features a tight contest ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election, with incumbent Sol Zanetti of Québec solidaire facing Parti québécois challenger Claude Villeneuve, alongside candidates from the Conservative Party of Quebec (Nancy Joannette), Coalition Avenir Québec (Nathalie St-Pierre), and Quebec Liberal Party (Gertrude Bourdon). The race remains closely matched due to Zanetti's established local base since 2018, recent provincial shifts favoring the PQ in some Capitale-Nationale projections, and the riding's mix of urban voters responsive to sovereignty and progressive platforms. Recent candidate announcements, including Villeneuve's late August entry, have sustained uncertainty, as reflected in trader consensus near even odds across contenders. Key upcoming factors include the September 17 nomination deadline, riding-specific polling, and broader campaign momentum that could widen gaps before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Jean-Lesage riding in Quebec City features a tight contest ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election, with incumbent Sol Zanetti of Québec solidaire facing Parti québécois challenger Claude Villeneuve, alongside candidates from the Conservative Party of Quebec (Nancy Joannette), Coalition Avenir Québec (Nathalie St-Pierre), and Quebec Liberal Party (Gertrude Bourdon). The race remains closely matched due to Zanetti's established local base since 2018, recent provincial shifts favoring the PQ in some Capitale-Nationale projections, and the riding's mix of urban voters responsive to sovereignty and progressive platforms. Recent candidate announcements, including Villeneuve's late August entry, have sustained uncertainty, as reflected in trader consensus near even odds across contenders. Key upcoming factors include the September 17 nomination deadline, riding-specific polling, and broader campaign momentum that could widen gaps before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Kelly Lazo de la Vega 會贏得下一屆 Laurier-Dorion 魁北克國民議會選舉嗎？

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icon for 莫德·布羅薩爾-薩布蘭會贏得下一屆魁北克國民議會霍舍拉加-梅松納夫選舉嗎？

莫德·布羅薩爾-薩布蘭會贏得下一屆魁北克國民議會霍舍拉加-梅松納夫選舉嗎？

49%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Jean-Lesage魁北克國民議會選舉優勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Claude Villeneuve" at 49%, followed by "Nathalie St-Pierre" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Jean-Lesage魁北克國民議會選舉優勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Jean-Lesage魁北克國民議會選舉優勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Jean-Lesage魁北克國民議會選舉優勝者" is "Claude Villeneuve" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nathalie St-Pierre" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Jean-Lesage魁北克國民議會選舉優勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.