Official observations from Environment Canada and Toronto Pearson Airport confirmed a daily maximum of precisely 30°C on July 31, aligning with late-July climatological norms after earlier heatwave peaks in mid-July that reached 36°C. Model consensus from NOAA and regional forecasts had converged on this outcome days earlier, with minimal day-to-day variability and no late surge or cooling front altering the trajectory. Trader positioning at 100% on 30°C reflects this verified measurement threshold for market resolution, while sub-1% probabilities on adjacent bins capture only residual uncertainty around station-specific readings or rounding. A realistic shift would require post-event data revisions, such as corrected hourly observations or alternate station verification, though such adjustments remain rare for Canadian airport records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月31日多倫多氣溫最高?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$24,698 交易量
$24,698 交易量
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$24,698 交易量
$24,698 交易量
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official observations from Environment Canada and Toronto Pearson Airport confirmed a daily maximum of precisely 30°C on July 31, aligning with late-July climatological norms after earlier heatwave peaks in mid-July that reached 36°C. Model consensus from NOAA and regional forecasts had converged on this outcome days earlier, with minimal day-to-day variability and no late surge or cooling front altering the trajectory. Trader positioning at 100% on 30°C reflects this verified measurement threshold for market resolution, while sub-1% probabilities on adjacent bins capture only residual uncertainty around station-specific readings or rounding. A realistic shift would require post-event data revisions, such as corrected hourly observations or alternate station verification, though such adjustments remain rare for Canadian airport records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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