Recent short-term forecast models from Environment Canada and NOAA ensembles indicate Toronto highs on August 1 clustering near or slightly above the 25–27 °C climatological average, positioning 28 °C as the market mode at 36.5 % implied probability. Mid-range guidance shows modest warming from a warm-sector pattern with possible afternoon mixing, while ensemble spread keeps 27 °C and 29 °C as close contenders at 18.5 % and 24.5 %. Historical analogs for early-August days under similar steering flow rarely exceed 30 °C in the absence of strong subsidence, explaining the steep drop-off beyond that threshold. Traders are weighting the latest 12–24 h model runs and surface observations that will determine final maximum before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日多倫多氣溫最高？
8月1日多倫多氣溫最高？
28°C 37%
29°C 25%
27°C 19%
30°C 13%
最新
$20,601 交易量
最新
$20,601 交易量
2026-08-01
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
19%
28°C
37%
29°C
25%
30°C
13%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 37%
29°C 25%
27°C 19%
30°C 13%
最新
$20,601 交易量
最新
$20,601 交易量
2026-08-01
24°C or below
$434 交易量
<1%
25°C
$484 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,550 交易量
1%
27°C
$3,693 交易量
19%
28°C
$5,012 交易量
37%
29°C
$1,995 交易量
25%
30°C
$2,503 交易量
13%
31°C
$3,077 交易量
1%
32°C
$752 交易量
<1%
33°C
$676 交易量
<1%
34°C or higher
$425 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecast models from Environment Canada and NOAA ensembles indicate Toronto highs on August 1 clustering near or slightly above the 25–27 °C climatological average, positioning 28 °C as the market mode at 36.5 % implied probability. Mid-range guidance shows modest warming from a warm-sector pattern with possible afternoon mixing, while ensemble spread keeps 27 °C and 29 °C as close contenders at 18.5 % and 24.5 %. Historical analogs for early-August days under similar steering flow rarely exceed 30 °C in the absence of strong subsidence, explaining the steep drop-off beyond that threshold. Traders are weighting the latest 12–24 h model runs and surface observations that will determine final maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$20,601結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecast models from Environment Canada and NOAA ensembles indicate Toronto highs on August 1 clustering near or slightly above the 25–27 °C climatological average, positioning 28 °C as the market mode at 36.5 % implied probability. Mid-range guidance shows modest warming from a warm-sector pattern with possible afternoon mixing, while ensemble spread keeps 27 °C and 29 °C as close contenders at 18.5 % and 24.5 %. Historical analogs for early-August days under similar steering flow rarely exceed 30 °C in the absence of strong subsidence, explaining the steep drop-off beyond that threshold. Traders are weighting the latest 12–24 h model runs and surface observations that will determine final maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,601結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent short-term forecast models from Environment Canada and NOAA ensembles indicate Toronto highs on August 1 clustering near or slightly above the 25–27 °C climatological average, positioning 28 °C as the market mode at 36.5 % implied probability. Mid-range guidance shows modest warming from a warm-sector pattern with possible afternoon mixing, while ensemble spread keeps 27 °C and 29 °C as close contenders at 18.5 % and 24.5 %. Historical analogs for early-August days under similar steering flow rarely exceed 30 °C in the absence of strong subsidence, explaining the steep drop-off beyond that threshold. Traders are weighting the latest 12–24 h model runs and surface observations that will determine final maximum before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions