Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 6, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and typical early-September Mediterranean conditions without significant warm advection or subsidence strengthening. This aligns closely with climatological norms near 29°C and current surface observations showing similar values on September 5. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56% implied probability for 31°C and 45.5% for 32°C, captures the narrow uncertainty range in afternoon maximums from local heating and boundary-layer mixing, while probabilities above 33°C remain negligible absent unexpected model shifts. Updated guidance and any late-day observational adjustments will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
9月6日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
31°C 55%
32°C 46%
33°C 2%
34°C <1%
最新
$13,817 交易量
最新
$13,817 交易量
2026-09-06
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
55%
32°C
46%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
31°C 55%
32°C 46%
33°C 2%
34°C <1%
最新
$13,817 交易量
最新
$13,817 交易量
2026-09-06
28°C或以下
$245 交易量
<1%
29°C
$382 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,248 交易量
<1%
31°C
$3,807 交易量
55%
32°C
$3,768 交易量
46%
33°C
$992 交易量
2%
34°C
$918 交易量
<1%
35°C
$698 交易量
<1%
36°C
$529 交易量
<1%
37°C
$1,095 交易量
<1%
38°C或更高
$135 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 6, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and typical early-September Mediterranean conditions without significant warm advection or subsidence strengthening. This aligns closely with climatological norms near 29°C and current surface observations showing similar values on September 5. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56% implied probability for 31°C and 45.5% for 32°C, captures the narrow uncertainty range in afternoon maximums from local heating and boundary-layer mixing, while probabilities above 33°C remain negligible absent unexpected model shifts. Updated guidance and any late-day observational adjustments will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$13,817結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 6, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and typical early-September Mediterranean conditions without significant warm advection or subsidence strengthening. This aligns closely with climatological norms near 29°C and current surface observations showing similar values on September 5. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56% implied probability for 31°C and 45.5% for 32°C, captures the narrow uncertainty range in afternoon maximums from local heating and boundary-layer mixing, while probabilities above 33°C remain negligible absent unexpected model shifts. Updated guidance and any late-day observational adjustments will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,817結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 6, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and typical early-September Mediterranean conditions without significant warm advection or subsidence strengthening. This aligns closely with climatological norms near 29°C and current surface observations showing similar values on September 5. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56% implied probability for 31°C and 45.5% for 32°C, captures the narrow uncertainty range in afternoon maximums from local heating and boundary-layer mixing, while probabilities above 33°C remain negligible absent unexpected model shifts. Updated guidance and any late-day observational adjustments will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions