Heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover from a frontal system are suppressing daytime heating across Taipei on September 6, keeping maximum temperatures near or below seasonal norms. Official Central Weather Administration advisories highlight heavy downpours exceeding 80 mm in 24 hours in parts of the city and mountains, with widespread thunderstorms maintaining high humidity near 90% and limited solar insolation. Model consensus from sources including WeatherBug and WindBorne points to a daily high of 24–26°C under these conditions, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 25°C. This setup contrasts with typical early-September baselines around 30°C, as northeasterly flow and moisture advection favor prolonged precipitation over clear-sky warming. Updated forecasts for Monday indicate clearing and a rebound toward 28–30°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日臺北氣溫最高?
25°C 88.9%
26°C 10.3%
27°C 2.2%
24°C或以下 <1%
$38,375 交易量
$38,375 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
89%
26°C
10%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
25°C 88.9%
26°C 10.3%
27°C 2.2%
24°C或以下 <1%
$38,375 交易量
$38,375 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
89%
26°C
10%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover from a frontal system are suppressing daytime heating across Taipei on September 6, keeping maximum temperatures near or below seasonal norms. Official Central Weather Administration advisories highlight heavy downpours exceeding 80 mm in 24 hours in parts of the city and mountains, with widespread thunderstorms maintaining high humidity near 90% and limited solar insolation. Model consensus from sources including WeatherBug and WindBorne points to a daily high of 24–26°C under these conditions, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 25°C. This setup contrasts with typical early-September baselines around 30°C, as northeasterly flow and moisture advection favor prolonged precipitation over clear-sky warming. Updated forecasts for Monday indicate clearing and a rebound toward 28–30°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions