Recent Met Office guidance points to a maximum of 26°C in London on September 6 under southerly flow, with partly cloudy skies and light winds limiting mixing. Ensemble model runs show modest spread around this value, with some solutions favoring 25°C if morning cloud lingers longer and others reaching 27°C under stronger insolation. Historical September climatology places average highs near 21°C, so the current warm anomaly supports the market’s clustering around 25–27°C. Updated forecast discussions later today and overnight model cycles will refine boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日倫敦的最高溫度?
26°C 49%
25°C 22%
27°C 22%
28°C 7%
$14,578 交易量
$14,578 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
22%
26°C
49%
27°C
22%
28°C
7%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
26°C 49%
25°C 22%
27°C 22%
28°C 7%
$14,578 交易量
$14,578 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
22%
26°C
49%
27°C
22%
28°C
7%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office guidance points to a maximum of 26°C in London on September 6 under southerly flow, with partly cloudy skies and light winds limiting mixing. Ensemble model runs show modest spread around this value, with some solutions favoring 25°C if morning cloud lingers longer and others reaching 27°C under stronger insolation. Historical September climatology places average highs near 21°C, so the current warm anomaly supports the market’s clustering around 25–27°C. Updated forecast discussions later today and overnight model cycles will refine boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions