**Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological services indicate a high of 30–31°C in Shenzhen on September 6, driven by expected showers and cloud cover that limit daytime heating.** In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, northeasterly flow and high humidity favor scattered rain that reduces solar insolation and caps afternoon peaks near the seasonal average. Recent model runs show moderate precipitation totals supporting these values rather than clearer skies that could push readings to 32°C or above. Trader consensus aligns with this range, as 31°C holds the highest implied probability at 38.5% while 30°C follows at 26%. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and intensity of any convective activity, with official observations from local stations determining the daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日深圳最高溫度？
9月6日深圳最高溫度？
31°C 39%
30°C 28%
32°C 19%
29°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
28%
31°C
39%
32°C
19%
33°C
5%
34°C或以上
1%
31°C 39%
30°C 28%
32°C 19%
29°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
24°C或以下
$160 交易量
<1%
25°C
$125 交易量
<1%
26°C
$150 交易量
<1%
27°C
$144 交易量
2%
28°C
$411 交易量
4%
29°C
$1,738 交易量
8%
30°C
$1,312 交易量
28%
31°C
$995 交易量
39%
32°C
$361 交易量
19%
33°C
$743 交易量
5%
34°C或以上
$600 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological services indicate a high of 30–31°C in Shenzhen on September 6, driven by expected showers and cloud cover that limit daytime heating.** In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, northeasterly flow and high humidity favor scattered rain that reduces solar insolation and caps afternoon peaks near the seasonal average. Recent model runs show moderate precipitation totals supporting these values rather than clearer skies that could push readings to 32°C or above. Trader consensus aligns with this range, as 31°C holds the highest implied probability at 38.5% while 30°C follows at 26%. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and intensity of any convective activity, with official observations from local stations determining the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$6,739結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological services indicate a high of 30–31°C in Shenzhen on September 6, driven by expected showers and cloud cover that limit daytime heating.** In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, northeasterly flow and high humidity favor scattered rain that reduces solar insolation and caps afternoon peaks near the seasonal average. Recent model runs show moderate precipitation totals supporting these values rather than clearer skies that could push readings to 32°C or above. Trader consensus aligns with this range, as 31°C holds the highest implied probability at 38.5% while 30°C follows at 26%. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and intensity of any convective activity, with official observations from local stations determining the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,739結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological services indicate a high of 30–31°C in Shenzhen on September 6, driven by expected showers and cloud cover that limit daytime heating.** In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, northeasterly flow and high humidity favor scattered rain that reduces solar insolation and caps afternoon peaks near the seasonal average. Recent model runs show moderate precipitation totals supporting these values rather than clearer skies that could push readings to 32°C or above. Trader consensus aligns with this range, as 31°C holds the highest implied probability at 38.5% while 30°C follows at 26%. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and intensity of any convective activity, with official observations from local stations determining the daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions