Current short-range forecasts from INMET and global ensembles indicate daytime maxima in São Paulo on August 13 most likely near 29–30 °C, supported by a building subtropical ridge, modest warm advection, and reduced cloud cover following recent frontal passages. These values sit above the long-term August average of 23–25 °C but remain consistent with occasional winter warm spells driven by northerly flow. Ensemble spreads and model consensus favor this narrow range, with lower probabilities assigned to 31 °C or higher due to limited moisture and timing of any trough influence. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine land-sea breeze and boundary-layer mixing effects ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日聖保羅的最高溫度？
8月13日聖保羅的最高溫度？
29°C 42%
30°C 27%
31°C 18%
28°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
8%
29°C
42%
30°C
27%
31°C
18%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 42%
30°C 27%
31°C 18%
28°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
24°C or below
$37 交易量
<1%
25°C
$33 交易量
1%
26°C
$29 交易量
1%
27°C
$23 交易量
5%
28°C
$168 交易量
8%
29°C
$238 交易量
42%
30°C
$120 交易量
27%
31°C
$83 交易量
18%
32°C
$25 交易量
2%
33°C
$2 交易量
3%
34°C or higher
$66 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from INMET and global ensembles indicate daytime maxima in São Paulo on August 13 most likely near 29–30 °C, supported by a building subtropical ridge, modest warm advection, and reduced cloud cover following recent frontal passages. These values sit above the long-term August average of 23–25 °C but remain consistent with occasional winter warm spells driven by northerly flow. Ensemble spreads and model consensus favor this narrow range, with lower probabilities assigned to 31 °C or higher due to limited moisture and timing of any trough influence. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine land-sea breeze and boundary-layer mixing effects ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
交易量
$825結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from INMET and global ensembles indicate daytime maxima in São Paulo on August 13 most likely near 29–30 °C, supported by a building subtropical ridge, modest warm advection, and reduced cloud cover following recent frontal passages. These values sit above the long-term August average of 23–25 °C but remain consistent with occasional winter warm spells driven by northerly flow. Ensemble spreads and model consensus favor this narrow range, with lower probabilities assigned to 31 °C or higher due to limited moisture and timing of any trough influence. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine land-sea breeze and boundary-layer mixing effects ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$825結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETCurrent short-range forecasts from INMET and global ensembles indicate daytime maxima in São Paulo on August 13 most likely near 29–30 °C, supported by a building subtropical ridge, modest warm advection, and reduced cloud cover following recent frontal passages. These values sit above the long-term August average of 23–25 °C but remain consistent with occasional winter warm spells driven by northerly flow. Ensemble spreads and model consensus favor this narrow range, with lower probabilities assigned to 31 °C or higher due to limited moisture and timing of any trough influence. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine land-sea breeze and boundary-layer mixing effects ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions