Recent model consensus from regional forecasts positions São Paulo’s August 12 maximum near 24–25°C, reflecting a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge that suppresses convection and limits daytime insolation under partly to mostly cloudy skies. This setup favors modest warming relative to the climatological August average of 23–25°C, with small differences between the two leading outcomes hinging on precise cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, and surface wind speeds that modulate sensible heat flux. Overcast conditions observed in preceding days have similarly capped peaks, while any late-day clearing could allow brief additional heating without exceeding 26°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical winter variability, where radiative cooling overnight and limited solar input keep extremes narrow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日聖保羅的最高溫度？
8月12日聖保羅的最高溫度？
24°C 39%
25°C 32%
26°C 17%
23°C 9%
最新
$23,139 交易量
最新
$23,139 交易量
2026-08-12
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
9%
24°C
39%
25°C
32%
26°C
17%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 39%
25°C 32%
26°C 17%
23°C 9%
最新
$23,139 交易量
最新
$23,139 交易量
2026-08-12
19°C or below
$320 交易量
<1%
20°C
$810 交易量
1%
21°C
$2,626 交易量
1%
22°C
$1,405 交易量
4%
23°C
$5,901 交易量
9%
24°C
$3,962 交易量
39%
25°C
$2,023 交易量
32%
26°C
$1,592 交易量
17%
27°C
$797 交易量
2%
28°C
$521 交易量
1%
29°C or higher
$3,181 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional forecasts positions São Paulo’s August 12 maximum near 24–25°C, reflecting a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge that suppresses convection and limits daytime insolation under partly to mostly cloudy skies. This setup favors modest warming relative to the climatological August average of 23–25°C, with small differences between the two leading outcomes hinging on precise cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, and surface wind speeds that modulate sensible heat flux. Overcast conditions observed in preceding days have similarly capped peaks, while any late-day clearing could allow brief additional heating without exceeding 26°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical winter variability, where radiative cooling overnight and limited solar input keep extremes narrow.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$23,139結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional forecasts positions São Paulo’s August 12 maximum near 24–25°C, reflecting a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge that suppresses convection and limits daytime insolation under partly to mostly cloudy skies. This setup favors modest warming relative to the climatological August average of 23–25°C, with small differences between the two leading outcomes hinging on precise cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, and surface wind speeds that modulate sensible heat flux. Overcast conditions observed in preceding days have similarly capped peaks, while any late-day clearing could allow brief additional heating without exceeding 26°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical winter variability, where radiative cooling overnight and limited solar input keep extremes narrow.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$23,139結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent model consensus from regional forecasts positions São Paulo’s August 12 maximum near 24–25°C, reflecting a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge that suppresses convection and limits daytime insolation under partly to mostly cloudy skies. This setup favors modest warming relative to the climatological August average of 23–25°C, with small differences between the two leading outcomes hinging on precise cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, and surface wind speeds that modulate sensible heat flux. Overcast conditions observed in preceding days have similarly capped peaks, while any late-day clearing could allow brief additional heating without exceeding 26°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical winter variability, where radiative cooling overnight and limited solar input keep extremes narrow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions