Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a most likely daily maximum near 27–28°C in Paris on September 7, driven by moderate west-southwest flow, increasing cloud cover, and light shower chances that limit daytime heating compared with the sunnier 29–31°C peak expected on September 6. Ensemble guidance shows temperatures peaking in the mid-afternoon before cooling under thickening stratiform clouds, with dew points rising to 16–17°C and supporting humidity levels around 55–70%. This places the outcome close to the long-term September 7 average high of 22.7°C yet well below recent extremes such as 32.8°C in 2023, reflecting the influence of a transient Atlantic trough. Model spread remains modest but sensitive to exact timing of any embedded showers or breaks in cloud, with updated runs from agencies such as Météo-France and the GFS expected within the next 24–48 hours to refine the precise ceiling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日巴黎最高溫度?
27°C 33%
28°C 27%
26°C 18%
29°C 11%
24°C或以下
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
18%
27°C
33%
28°C
27%
29°C
11%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C或以上
1%
27°C 33%
28°C 27%
26°C 18%
29°C 11%
24°C或以下
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
18%
27°C
33%
28°C
27%
29°C
11%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a most likely daily maximum near 27–28°C in Paris on September 7, driven by moderate west-southwest flow, increasing cloud cover, and light shower chances that limit daytime heating compared with the sunnier 29–31°C peak expected on September 6. Ensemble guidance shows temperatures peaking in the mid-afternoon before cooling under thickening stratiform clouds, with dew points rising to 16–17°C and supporting humidity levels around 55–70%. This places the outcome close to the long-term September 7 average high of 22.7°C yet well below recent extremes such as 32.8°C in 2023, reflecting the influence of a transient Atlantic trough. Model spread remains modest but sensitive to exact timing of any embedded showers or breaks in cloud, with updated runs from agencies such as Météo-France and the GFS expected within the next 24–48 hours to refine the precise ceiling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions