Model consensus from sources including Météo-France and GFS runs indicates a high of 24–25°C in Paris today under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds. This range reflects modest daytime heating from solar radiation tempered by increasing high cloud cover and cooler Atlantic advection, yielding temperatures near the 23°C September climatological average. Trader preference for 24°C (45.5%) over 25°C (38%) stems from morning observations and short-range model guidance showing limited clearing potential, while the low probability assigned to 26°C or higher accounts for uncertainty in exact peak timing and boundary-layer mixing before evening stabilization. Updated afternoon analyses or satellite trends could refine the outcome before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於巴黎9月5日最高溫度？
巴黎9月5日最高溫度？
24°C 50%
25°C 26%
26°C 11%
23°C 7%
$37,240 交易量
$37,240 交易量
2026-09-05
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
50%
25°C
26%
26°C
11%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
24°C 50%
25°C 26%
26°C 11%
23°C 7%
$37,240 交易量
$37,240 交易量
2026-09-05
20°C或以下
$1,142 交易量
<1%
21°C
$2,181 交易量
1%
22°C
$3,110 交易量
1%
23°C
$3,209 交易量
7%
24°C
$7,180 交易量
50%
25°C
$6,498 交易量
26%
26°C
$6,293 交易量
11%
27°C
$3,604 交易量
2%
28°C
$1,673 交易量
<1%
29°C
$928 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$1,423 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Model consensus from sources including Météo-France and GFS runs indicates a high of 24–25°C in Paris today under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds. This range reflects modest daytime heating from solar radiation tempered by increasing high cloud cover and cooler Atlantic advection, yielding temperatures near the 23°C September climatological average. Trader preference for 24°C (45.5%) over 25°C (38%) stems from morning observations and short-range model guidance showing limited clearing potential, while the low probability assigned to 26°C or higher accounts for uncertainty in exact peak timing and boundary-layer mixing before evening stabilization. Updated afternoon analyses or satellite trends could refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$37,240結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Model consensus from sources including Météo-France and GFS runs indicates a high of 24–25°C in Paris today under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds. This range reflects modest daytime heating from solar radiation tempered by increasing high cloud cover and cooler Atlantic advection, yielding temperatures near the 23°C September climatological average. Trader preference for 24°C (45.5%) over 25°C (38%) stems from morning observations and short-range model guidance showing limited clearing potential, while the low probability assigned to 26°C or higher accounts for uncertainty in exact peak timing and boundary-layer mixing before evening stabilization. Updated afternoon analyses or satellite trends could refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,240結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ETModel consensus from sources including Météo-France and GFS runs indicates a high of 24–25°C in Paris today under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds. This range reflects modest daytime heating from solar radiation tempered by increasing high cloud cover and cooler Atlantic advection, yielding temperatures near the 23°C September climatological average. Trader preference for 24°C (45.5%) over 25°C (38%) stems from morning observations and short-range model guidance showing limited clearing potential, while the low probability assigned to 26°C or higher accounts for uncertainty in exact peak timing and boundary-layer mixing before evening stabilization. Updated afternoon analyses or satellite trends could refine the outcome before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions