**Forecast models from sources like Météo-France and GFS consensus indicate a daily maximum of 24–25°C in Paris on September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwest winds.** This positions those outcomes as market leaders, as the day follows a warmer September 4 (high near 29°C) and aligns with climatological norms around the 23°C seasonal average high. Current observations show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 15–18°C toward afternoon peaks, with low precipitation risk and stable high pressure supporting limited warming. Trader sentiment, reflected in the combined ~89% probability for 24–25°C, captures this narrow range amid typical model agreement on steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the exact maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於巴黎9月5日最高溫度？
巴黎9月5日最高溫度？
24°C 54%
25°C 37%
23°C 6%
26°C 6%
$38,892 交易量
$38,892 交易量
2026-09-05
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
54%
25°C
37%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
24°C 54%
25°C 37%
23°C 6%
26°C 6%
$38,892 交易量
$38,892 交易量
2026-09-05
20°C或以下
$1,142 交易量
<1%
21°C
$2,181 交易量
<1%
22°C
$3,123 交易量
<1%
23°C
$3,364 交易量
6%
24°C
$7,488 交易量
54%
25°C
$7,195 交易量
37%
26°C
$6,486 交易量
6%
27°C
$3,869 交易量
2%
28°C
$1,693 交易量
<1%
29°C
$928 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$1,423 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like Météo-France and GFS consensus indicate a daily maximum of 24–25°C in Paris on September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwest winds.** This positions those outcomes as market leaders, as the day follows a warmer September 4 (high near 29°C) and aligns with climatological norms around the 23°C seasonal average high. Current observations show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 15–18°C toward afternoon peaks, with low precipitation risk and stable high pressure supporting limited warming. Trader sentiment, reflected in the combined ~89% probability for 24–25°C, captures this narrow range amid typical model agreement on steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$38,892結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like Météo-France and GFS consensus indicate a daily maximum of 24–25°C in Paris on September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwest winds.** This positions those outcomes as market leaders, as the day follows a warmer September 4 (high near 29°C) and aligns with climatological norms around the 23°C seasonal average high. Current observations show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 15–18°C toward afternoon peaks, with low precipitation risk and stable high pressure supporting limited warming. Trader sentiment, reflected in the combined ~89% probability for 24–25°C, captures this narrow range amid typical model agreement on steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$38,892結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ET**Forecast models from sources like Météo-France and GFS consensus indicate a daily maximum of 24–25°C in Paris on September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwest winds.** This positions those outcomes as market leaders, as the day follows a warmer September 4 (high near 29°C) and aligns with climatological norms around the 23°C seasonal average high. Current observations show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 15–18°C toward afternoon peaks, with low precipitation risk and stable high pressure supporting limited warming. Trader sentiment, reflected in the combined ~89% probability for 24–25°C, captures this narrow range amid typical model agreement on steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the exact maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions