Recent forecasts from multiple models show Paris reaching a daily high of 24–25°C on September 5 under partly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 5–10 mph, and stable high pressure that limits convective heating while allowing modest solar gain. This positions 24°C (53.5% implied probability) and 25°C (36.5%) as the clear market leaders, consistent with the 23°C climatological average and the absence of either a heat dome or stronger onshore flow. Morning observations near 19°C and low precipitation risk reinforce the tight range, with traders weighting official updates from Météo-France and ECMWF runs that show minimal spread. Resolution will hinge on the afternoon peak recorded at official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於巴黎9月5日最高溫度？
巴黎9月5日最高溫度？
24°C 55%
25°C 37%
26°C 6%
23°C 5%
$39,442 交易量
$39,442 交易量
2026-09-05
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
5%
24°C
55%
25°C
37%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
24°C 55%
25°C 37%
26°C 6%
23°C 5%
$39,442 交易量
$39,442 交易量
2026-09-05
20°C或以下
$1,142 交易量
<1%
21°C
$2,181 交易量
<1%
22°C
$3,123 交易量
<1%
23°C
$3,380 交易量
5%
24°C
$7,519 交易量
55%
25°C
$7,247 交易量
37%
26°C
$6,504 交易量
6%
27°C
$4,294 交易量
2%
28°C
$1,698 交易量
<1%
29°C
$933 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$1,423 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show Paris reaching a daily high of 24–25°C on September 5 under partly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 5–10 mph, and stable high pressure that limits convective heating while allowing modest solar gain. This positions 24°C (53.5% implied probability) and 25°C (36.5%) as the clear market leaders, consistent with the 23°C climatological average and the absence of either a heat dome or stronger onshore flow. Morning observations near 19°C and low precipitation risk reinforce the tight range, with traders weighting official updates from Météo-France and ECMWF runs that show minimal spread. Resolution will hinge on the afternoon peak recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$39,442結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show Paris reaching a daily high of 24–25°C on September 5 under partly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 5–10 mph, and stable high pressure that limits convective heating while allowing modest solar gain. This positions 24°C (53.5% implied probability) and 25°C (36.5%) as the clear market leaders, consistent with the 23°C climatological average and the absence of either a heat dome or stronger onshore flow. Morning observations near 19°C and low precipitation risk reinforce the tight range, with traders weighting official updates from Météo-France and ECMWF runs that show minimal spread. Resolution will hinge on the afternoon peak recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$39,442結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models show Paris reaching a daily high of 24–25°C on September 5 under partly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 5–10 mph, and stable high pressure that limits convective heating while allowing modest solar gain. This positions 24°C (53.5% implied probability) and 25°C (36.5%) as the clear market leaders, consistent with the 23°C climatological average and the absence of either a heat dome or stronger onshore flow. Morning observations near 19°C and low precipitation risk reinforce the tight range, with traders weighting official updates from Météo-France and ECMWF runs that show minimal spread. Resolution will hinge on the afternoon peak recorded at official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions