Current forecast models from sources aligned with GFS and similar systems indicate a high-pressure ridge over northern France on September 21, 2026, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, supporting a daily maximum near 22–24°C. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes, where 23°C holds the highest implied probability amid tight clustering around seasonal norms slightly above the long-term average high of about 21°C. Model consensus remains stable with low uncertainty this close to the date, though minor revisions in afternoon heating or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact peak by 1°C. Updated runs from European and global ensembles will provide the next key data points for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於巴黎9月21日的最高溫度？
巴黎9月21日的最高溫度？
23°C 40%
24°C 33%
22°C 18%
25°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
11%
22°C
18%
23°C
40%
24°C
19%
25°C
17%
26°C
10%
27°C
2%
28°C或以上
2%
23°C 40%
24°C 33%
22°C 18%
25°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
18°C或以下
$5 交易量
1%
19°C
$0 交易量
2%
20°C
$0 交易量
2%
21°C
$0 交易量
11%
22°C
$0 交易量
18%
23°C
$37 交易量
40%
24°C
$147 交易量
19%
25°C
$0 交易量
17%
26°C
$0 交易量
10%
27°C
$0 交易量
2%
28°C或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources aligned with GFS and similar systems indicate a high-pressure ridge over northern France on September 21, 2026, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, supporting a daily maximum near 22–24°C. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes, where 23°C holds the highest implied probability amid tight clustering around seasonal norms slightly above the long-term average high of about 21°C. Model consensus remains stable with low uncertainty this close to the date, though minor revisions in afternoon heating or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact peak by 1°C. Updated runs from European and global ensembles will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$189結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources aligned with GFS and similar systems indicate a high-pressure ridge over northern France on September 21, 2026, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, supporting a daily maximum near 22–24°C. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes, where 23°C holds the highest implied probability amid tight clustering around seasonal norms slightly above the long-term average high of about 21°C. Model consensus remains stable with low uncertainty this close to the date, though minor revisions in afternoon heating or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact peak by 1°C. Updated runs from European and global ensembles will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$189結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources aligned with GFS and similar systems indicate a high-pressure ridge over northern France on September 21, 2026, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, supporting a daily maximum near 22–24°C. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes, where 23°C holds the highest implied probability amid tight clustering around seasonal norms slightly above the long-term average high of about 21°C. Model consensus remains stable with low uncertainty this close to the date, though minor revisions in afternoon heating or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact peak by 1°C. Updated runs from European and global ensembles will provide the next key data points for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions