**Official observations from Panama City monitoring stations recorded a daily maximum temperature of exactly 32°C on September 4, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome.** September falls in Panama's wet season, characterized by high humidity, frequent convective thunderstorms, and afternoon temperature peaks typically ranging 29–32°C according to climatological baselines from sources like the national meteorological service. Model guidance and surface data aligned closely with this range, with peaks reaching but not exceeding the 32°C threshold amid scattered storms and light winds. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects verified station readings rather than forecasts, with minimal uncertainty once the day concluded; only discrepancies in station siting or rare measurement revisions could have altered resolution, scenarios unsupported by available data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於巴拿馬城9月4日的最高溫度？
巴拿馬城9月4日的最高溫度？
32°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$19,634 交易量
$19,634 交易量
2026-09-04
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
是
33°C
否
34°C或以上
否
32°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$19,634 交易量
$19,634 交易量
2026-09-04
24°C或以下
$130 交易量
否
25°C
$990 交易量
否
26°C
$1,080 交易量
否
27°C
$291 交易量
否
28°C
$403 交易量
否
29°C
$603 交易量
否
30°C
$1,958 交易量
否
31°C
$2,128 交易量
否
32°C
$3,635 交易量
是
33°C
$6,795 交易量
否
34°C或以上
$1,623 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from Panama City monitoring stations recorded a daily maximum temperature of exactly 32°C on September 4, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome.**
September falls in Panama's wet season, characterized by high humidity, frequent convective thunderstorms, and afternoon temperature peaks typically ranging 29–32°C according to climatological baselines from sources like the national meteorological service. Model guidance and surface data aligned closely with this range, with peaks reaching but not exceeding the 32°C threshold amid scattered storms and light winds. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects verified station readings rather than forecasts, with minimal uncertainty once the day concluded; only discrepancies in station siting or rare measurement revisions could have altered resolution, scenarios unsupported by available data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$19,634結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 8:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from Panama City monitoring stations recorded a daily maximum temperature of exactly 32°C on September 4, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome.**
September falls in Panama's wet season, characterized by high humidity, frequent convective thunderstorms, and afternoon temperature peaks typically ranging 29–32°C according to climatological baselines from sources like the national meteorological service. Model guidance and surface data aligned closely with this range, with peaks reaching but not exceeding the 32°C threshold amid scattered storms and light winds. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects verified station readings rather than forecasts, with minimal uncertainty once the day concluded; only discrepancies in station siting or rare measurement revisions could have altered resolution, scenarios unsupported by available data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19,634結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 8:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Official observations from Panama City monitoring stations recorded a daily maximum temperature of exactly 32°C on September 4, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome.** September falls in Panama's wet season, characterized by high humidity, frequent convective thunderstorms, and afternoon temperature peaks typically ranging 29–32°C according to climatological baselines from sources like the national meteorological service. Model guidance and surface data aligned closely with this range, with peaks reaching but not exceeding the 32°C threshold amid scattered storms and light winds. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects verified station readings rather than forecasts, with minimal uncertainty once the day concluded; only discrepancies in station siting or rare measurement revisions could have altered resolution, scenarios unsupported by available data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions