**Forecast consensus from European models points to a maximum near 18°C in Munich on September 21 as the most probable outcome, consistent with the 51.5% market-implied probability.** Northwest flow behind a weakening front is advecting cooler maritime air, with daytime highs limited by increased cloud cover and scattered showers. Multiple runs, including DWD and ECMWF guidance, cluster between 17–18°C, aligning with the historical average high of 18.9°C for the date while reflecting the post-weekend cooldown from 22–23°C readings on September 19–20. Uncertainty remains around exact cloud timing and any residual warm advection that could push readings to 19°C (20% implied odds) or hold them at 17°C (12%). Final model updates and observations through the 20th will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
9月21日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
18°C 52%
19°C 37%
20°C 19%
17°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
14°C或以下
4%
15°C
7%
16°C
11%
17°C
12%
18°C
52%
19°C
37%
20°C
19%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C或更高
1%
18°C 52%
19°C 37%
20°C 19%
17°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
15°C
$0 交易量
7%
16°C
$0 交易量
11%
17°C
$0 交易量
12%
18°C
$68 交易量
52%
19°C
$0 交易量
37%
20°C
$0 交易量
19%
21°C
$0 交易量
6%
22°C
$0 交易量
2%
23°C
$0 交易量
2%
24°C或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from European models points to a maximum near 18°C in Munich on September 21 as the most probable outcome, consistent with the 51.5% market-implied probability.** Northwest flow behind a weakening front is advecting cooler maritime air, with daytime highs limited by increased cloud cover and scattered showers. Multiple runs, including DWD and ECMWF guidance, cluster between 17–18°C, aligning with the historical average high of 18.9°C for the date while reflecting the post-weekend cooldown from 22–23°C readings on September 19–20. Uncertainty remains around exact cloud timing and any residual warm advection that could push readings to 19°C (20% implied odds) or hold them at 17°C (12%). Final model updates and observations through the 20th will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$68結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from European models points to a maximum near 18°C in Munich on September 21 as the most probable outcome, consistent with the 51.5% market-implied probability.** Northwest flow behind a weakening front is advecting cooler maritime air, with daytime highs limited by increased cloud cover and scattered showers. Multiple runs, including DWD and ECMWF guidance, cluster between 17–18°C, aligning with the historical average high of 18.9°C for the date while reflecting the post-weekend cooldown from 22–23°C readings on September 19–20. Uncertainty remains around exact cloud timing and any residual warm advection that could push readings to 19°C (20% implied odds) or hold them at 17°C (12%). Final model updates and observations through the 20th will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$68結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Forecast consensus from European models points to a maximum near 18°C in Munich on September 21 as the most probable outcome, consistent with the 51.5% market-implied probability.** Northwest flow behind a weakening front is advecting cooler maritime air, with daytime highs limited by increased cloud cover and scattered showers. Multiple runs, including DWD and ECMWF guidance, cluster between 17–18°C, aligning with the historical average high of 18.9°C for the date while reflecting the post-weekend cooldown from 22–23°C readings on September 19–20. Uncertainty remains around exact cloud timing and any residual warm advection that could push readings to 19°C (20% implied odds) or hold them at 17°C (12%). Final model updates and observations through the 20th will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions