Current forecast models from sources including Yr.no and the Met Office indicate a high near 22–25°C for Mexico City on September 6, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation and the ongoing rainy season that brings afternoon cloud cover and showers capable of limiting daytime heating. Historical September averages hover around 23–24°C, with recent early-month rainfall patterns—marked by localized flooding and fallen trees—reinforcing expectations of similar suppression rather than clear-sky warming. Trader-implied probabilities, heavily weighted toward 23–25°C, align with this consensus from ensemble guidance while assigning low odds to outliers above 26°C or below 22°C absent a rapid shift in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings will provide the next key data points before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於墨西哥城9月6日的最高溫度？
墨西哥城9月6日的最高溫度？
24°C 46%
25°C 30%
23°C 19%
26°C或更高 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
19%
24°C
46%
25°C
30%
26°C或更高
5%
24°C 46%
25°C 30%
23°C 19%
26°C或更高 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
16°C或以下
$515 交易量
<1%
17°C
$135 交易量
<1%
18°C
$295 交易量
<1%
19°C
$207 交易量
<1%
20°C
$79 交易量
2%
21°C
$73 交易量
2%
22°C
$113 交易量
5%
23°C
$131 交易量
19%
24°C
$1,180 交易量
46%
25°C
$761 交易量
30%
26°C或更高
$457 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including Yr.no and the Met Office indicate a high near 22–25°C for Mexico City on September 6, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation and the ongoing rainy season that brings afternoon cloud cover and showers capable of limiting daytime heating. Historical September averages hover around 23–24°C, with recent early-month rainfall patterns—marked by localized flooding and fallen trees—reinforcing expectations of similar suppression rather than clear-sky warming. Trader-implied probabilities, heavily weighted toward 23–25°C, align with this consensus from ensemble guidance while assigning low odds to outliers above 26°C or below 22°C absent a rapid shift in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$3,945結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including Yr.no and the Met Office indicate a high near 22–25°C for Mexico City on September 6, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation and the ongoing rainy season that brings afternoon cloud cover and showers capable of limiting daytime heating. Historical September averages hover around 23–24°C, with recent early-month rainfall patterns—marked by localized flooding and fallen trees—reinforcing expectations of similar suppression rather than clear-sky warming. Trader-implied probabilities, heavily weighted toward 23–25°C, align with this consensus from ensemble guidance while assigning low odds to outliers above 26°C or below 22°C absent a rapid shift in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,945結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources including Yr.no and the Met Office indicate a high near 22–25°C for Mexico City on September 6, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation and the ongoing rainy season that brings afternoon cloud cover and showers capable of limiting daytime heating. Historical September averages hover around 23–24°C, with recent early-month rainfall patterns—marked by localized flooding and fallen trees—reinforcing expectations of similar suppression rather than clear-sky warming. Trader-implied probabilities, heavily weighted toward 23–25°C, align with this consensus from ensemble guidance while assigning low odds to outliers above 26°C or below 22°C absent a rapid shift in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings will provide the next key data points before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions