Forecast models from sources like the GFS and European ensembles point to a peak high of 34–35°C in Madrid on September 8 under clear skies, moderate southwesterly winds, and a building ridge of high pressure, following hotter conditions near 36–37°C on September 7. This aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 35°C (53%) and 36°C (40.5%), reflecting trader assessment of limited further warming before a cooler air mass arrives. Historical September averages near 28°C provide context, while the current late-summer warmth stems from persistent anticyclonic conditions across Iberia. Official AEMET updates and refined model runs in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range around these outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日馬德裏氣溫最高？
9月8日馬德裏氣溫最高？
35°C 52%
36°C 35%
34°C 12%
37°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
12%
35°C
52%
36°C
35%
37°C
5%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C或更高
<1%
35°C 52%
36°C 35%
34°C 12%
37°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
31°C或以下
$121 交易量
<1%
32°C
$121 交易量
<1%
33°C
$115 交易量
<1%
34°C
$596 交易量
12%
35°C
$407 交易量
52%
36°C
$332 交易量
35%
37°C
$391 交易量
5%
38°C
$171 交易量
<1%
39°C
$126 交易量
<1%
40°C
$473 交易量
<1%
41°C或更高
$308 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS and European ensembles point to a peak high of 34–35°C in Madrid on September 8 under clear skies, moderate southwesterly winds, and a building ridge of high pressure, following hotter conditions near 36–37°C on September 7. This aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 35°C (53%) and 36°C (40.5%), reflecting trader assessment of limited further warming before a cooler air mass arrives. Historical September averages near 28°C provide context, while the current late-summer warmth stems from persistent anticyclonic conditions across Iberia. Official AEMET updates and refined model runs in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range around these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$2,335結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS and European ensembles point to a peak high of 34–35°C in Madrid on September 8 under clear skies, moderate southwesterly winds, and a building ridge of high pressure, following hotter conditions near 36–37°C on September 7. This aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 35°C (53%) and 36°C (40.5%), reflecting trader assessment of limited further warming before a cooler air mass arrives. Historical September averages near 28°C provide context, while the current late-summer warmth stems from persistent anticyclonic conditions across Iberia. Official AEMET updates and refined model runs in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range around these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,335結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from sources like the GFS and European ensembles point to a peak high of 34–35°C in Madrid on September 8 under clear skies, moderate southwesterly winds, and a building ridge of high pressure, following hotter conditions near 36–37°C on September 7. This aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 35°C (53%) and 36°C (40.5%), reflecting trader assessment of limited further warming before a cooler air mass arrives. Historical September averages near 28°C provide context, while the current late-summer warmth stems from persistent anticyclonic conditions across Iberia. Official AEMET updates and refined model runs in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range around these outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions