Forecast models from agencies including AEMET indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on September 17 will likely reach 26°C under stable high pressure, light northeast winds, and partly cloudy skies that moderate solar heating. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.2°C for the date, following a cooling trend after earlier September peaks above 34°C. Low precipitation risk (under 5%) and modest humidity further support limited deviation, though afternoon clearing could push readings to 27°C in some model runs. Market-implied odds heavily favor 26°C at 64% and 27°C at 24%, reflecting trader consensus on these near-normal outcomes amid minimal forecast spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日馬德裏氣溫最高？
9月17日馬德裏氣溫最高？
26°C 63%
27°C 25%
25°C 6%
28°C 4%
最新
$31,892 交易量
最新
$31,892 交易量
2026-09-17
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
63%
27°C
25%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
26°C 63%
27°C 25%
25°C 6%
28°C 4%
最新
$31,892 交易量
最新
$31,892 交易量
2026-09-17
21°C或以下
$863 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,440 交易量
<1%
23°C
$568 交易量
1%
24°C
$514 交易量
1%
25°C
$4,498 交易量
6%
26°C
$7,503 交易量
63%
27°C
$6,018 交易量
25%
28°C
$7,399 交易量
4%
29°C
$1,378 交易量
1%
30°C
$369 交易量
<1%
31°C或以上
$1,342 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including AEMET indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on September 17 will likely reach 26°C under stable high pressure, light northeast winds, and partly cloudy skies that moderate solar heating. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.2°C for the date, following a cooling trend after earlier September peaks above 34°C. Low precipitation risk (under 5%) and modest humidity further support limited deviation, though afternoon clearing could push readings to 27°C in some model runs. Market-implied odds heavily favor 26°C at 64% and 27°C at 24%, reflecting trader consensus on these near-normal outcomes amid minimal forecast spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$31,892結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including AEMET indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on September 17 will likely reach 26°C under stable high pressure, light northeast winds, and partly cloudy skies that moderate solar heating. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.2°C for the date, following a cooling trend after earlier September peaks above 34°C. Low precipitation risk (under 5%) and modest humidity further support limited deviation, though afternoon clearing could push readings to 27°C in some model runs. Market-implied odds heavily favor 26°C at 64% and 27°C at 24%, reflecting trader consensus on these near-normal outcomes amid minimal forecast spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$31,892結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from agencies including AEMET indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on September 17 will likely reach 26°C under stable high pressure, light northeast winds, and partly cloudy skies that moderate solar heating. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.2°C for the date, following a cooling trend after earlier September peaks above 34°C. Low precipitation risk (under 5%) and modest humidity further support limited deviation, though afternoon clearing could push readings to 27°C in some model runs. Market-implied odds heavily favor 26°C at 64% and 27°C at 24%, reflecting trader consensus on these near-normal outcomes amid minimal forecast spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions