Recent National Weather Service model runs and observational trends point to moderate onshore flow and a lingering marine layer moderating temperatures across the Los Angeles basin on August 9, keeping the daily maximum near the upper 70s. Persistent northwest winds off the Pacific suppress strong daytime heating typical of late summer, while coastal stratus and higher humidity limit surface warming compared to inland valleys. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 78-79°F and 80-81°F bins, as traders incorporate climatological baselines (August downtown averages near 84°F) alongside current guidance showing no Santa Ana wind event or heat dome. Minor upward revisions in some ensemble members explain the secondary probability on 80-81°F, with resolution hinging on the official NWS reading at the downtown station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯8月9日的最高溫度？
洛杉磯8月9日的最高溫度？
78-79°F 52%
80-81華氏度 28%
76-77°F 18%
74-75°F 1.7%
最新
$15,805 交易量
最新
$15,805 交易量
2026-08-09
華氏71度或以下
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
52%
80-81華氏度
28%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90度或以上
<1%
78-79°F 52%
80-81華氏度 28%
76-77°F 18%
74-75°F 1.7%
最新
$15,805 交易量
最新
$15,805 交易量
2026-08-09
華氏71度或以下
$545 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$503 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$1,597 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$5,476 交易量
18%
78-79°F
$1,507 交易量
52%
80-81華氏度
$1,376 交易量
28%
82-83°F
$1,007 交易量
2%
84-85°F
$298 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$330 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$1,423 交易量
<1%
華氏90度或以上
$1,742 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model runs and observational trends point to moderate onshore flow and a lingering marine layer moderating temperatures across the Los Angeles basin on August 9, keeping the daily maximum near the upper 70s. Persistent northwest winds off the Pacific suppress strong daytime heating typical of late summer, while coastal stratus and higher humidity limit surface warming compared to inland valleys. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 78-79°F and 80-81°F bins, as traders incorporate climatological baselines (August downtown averages near 84°F) alongside current guidance showing no Santa Ana wind event or heat dome. Minor upward revisions in some ensemble members explain the secondary probability on 80-81°F, with resolution hinging on the official NWS reading at the downtown station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$15,805結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model runs and observational trends point to moderate onshore flow and a lingering marine layer moderating temperatures across the Los Angeles basin on August 9, keeping the daily maximum near the upper 70s. Persistent northwest winds off the Pacific suppress strong daytime heating typical of late summer, while coastal stratus and higher humidity limit surface warming compared to inland valleys. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 78-79°F and 80-81°F bins, as traders incorporate climatological baselines (August downtown averages near 84°F) alongside current guidance showing no Santa Ana wind event or heat dome. Minor upward revisions in some ensemble members explain the secondary probability on 80-81°F, with resolution hinging on the official NWS reading at the downtown station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,805結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service model runs and observational trends point to moderate onshore flow and a lingering marine layer moderating temperatures across the Los Angeles basin on August 9, keeping the daily maximum near the upper 70s. Persistent northwest winds off the Pacific suppress strong daytime heating typical of late summer, while coastal stratus and higher humidity limit surface warming compared to inland valleys. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 78-79°F and 80-81°F bins, as traders incorporate climatological baselines (August downtown averages near 84°F) alongside current guidance showing no Santa Ana wind event or heat dome. Minor upward revisions in some ensemble members explain the secondary probability on 80-81°F, with resolution hinging on the official NWS reading at the downtown station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions