Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate afternoon highs in Jeddah likely reaching 36–38 °C on September 17, with 37 °C and 38 °C outcomes nearly tied as traders weigh subtle differences in peak solar heating and sea-breeze timing. Clear skies and light southwesterly winds promote strong insolation over the coastal plain, while Red Sea moisture keeps relative humidity moderate and limits extreme spikes above historical September baselines near 36 °C. Minor model spread in the exact timing of onshore flow and boundary-layer mixing creates the narrow gap between the leading probabilities, with new observational data from local stations expected to resolve the outcome by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達9月17日的最高溫度?
37°C 39%
38°C 39%
36°C 13%
39°C或以上 12%
$12,504 交易量
$12,504 交易量
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
13%
37°C
39%
38°C
39%
39°C或以上
12%
37°C 39%
38°C 39%
36°C 13%
39°C或以上 12%
$12,504 交易量
$12,504 交易量
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
13%
37°C
39%
38°C
39%
39°C或以上
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate afternoon highs in Jeddah likely reaching 36–38 °C on September 17, with 37 °C and 38 °C outcomes nearly tied as traders weigh subtle differences in peak solar heating and sea-breeze timing. Clear skies and light southwesterly winds promote strong insolation over the coastal plain, while Red Sea moisture keeps relative humidity moderate and limits extreme spikes above historical September baselines near 36 °C. Minor model spread in the exact timing of onshore flow and boundary-layer mixing creates the narrow gap between the leading probabilities, with new observational data from local stations expected to resolve the outcome by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions