National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus projected a maximum of 94–95°F for Houston on August 29 under mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and typical late-summer humidity that limited overnight cooling but allowed strong daytime heating. Official climatological normals near 93–94°F, combined with the absence of significant cloud cover or precipitation in the latest runs, aligned trader positioning tightly around this narrow range as the most probable outcome at the designated station. While 100% implied probability reflects strong pre-event data, actual observations could deviate if unexpected afternoon convection developed earlier than modeled or if station-specific microclimate effects altered the peak reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日休斯敦的最高溫度?
94-95°F 100.0%
華氏83度或以下 <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$39,903 交易量
$39,903 交易量
華氏83度或以下
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
是
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
否
100-101°F
否
102°F或以上
否
94-95°F 100.0%
華氏83度或以下 <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$39,903 交易量
$39,903 交易量
華氏83度或以下
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
是
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
否
100-101°F
否
102°F或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus projected a maximum of 94–95°F for Houston on August 29 under mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and typical late-summer humidity that limited overnight cooling but allowed strong daytime heating. Official climatological normals near 93–94°F, combined with the absence of significant cloud cover or precipitation in the latest runs, aligned trader positioning tightly around this narrow range as the most probable outcome at the designated station. While 100% implied probability reflects strong pre-event data, actual observations could deviate if unexpected afternoon convection developed earlier than modeled or if station-specific microclimate effects altered the peak reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions