Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and real-time observations confirm peak temperatures reaching 33–34°C under sunny to partly cloudy skies on September 5, with low precipitation risk and light southerly winds. This aligns with the market's near-certain 34°C outcome, as September upper-level ridging has sustained warm advection across the Sichuan Basin, consistent with historical early-September maxima. Model consensus shows minimal deviation today, though any late-afternoon convective development or measurement adjustments at urban stations could shift the exact high by 1°C. Cooling and rainfall arrive after September 7, but today's stable high-pressure pattern locks in the current trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日成都最高溫度？
9月5日成都最高溫度？
34°C 99.8%
35°C <1%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
$37,356 交易量
$37,356 交易量
2026-09-05
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或以上
<1%
34°C 99.8%
35°C <1%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
$37,356 交易量
$37,356 交易量
2026-09-05
28°C或以下
$1,156 交易量
<1%
29°C
$2,114 交易量
<1%
30°C
$879 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,636 交易量
<1%
32°C
$3,751 交易量
<1%
33°C
$4,724 交易量
<1%
34°C
$7,076 交易量
100%
35°C
$5,907 交易量
<1%
36°C
$3,836 交易量
<1%
37°C
$1,409 交易量
<1%
38°C或以上
$4,868 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and real-time observations confirm peak temperatures reaching 33–34°C under sunny to partly cloudy skies on September 5, with low precipitation risk and light southerly winds. This aligns with the market's near-certain 34°C outcome, as September upper-level ridging has sustained warm advection across the Sichuan Basin, consistent with historical early-September maxima. Model consensus shows minimal deviation today, though any late-afternoon convective development or measurement adjustments at urban stations could shift the exact high by 1°C. Cooling and rainfall arrive after September 7, but today's stable high-pressure pattern locks in the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$37,356結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and real-time observations confirm peak temperatures reaching 33–34°C under sunny to partly cloudy skies on September 5, with low precipitation risk and light southerly winds. This aligns with the market's near-certain 34°C outcome, as September upper-level ridging has sustained warm advection across the Sichuan Basin, consistent with historical early-September maxima. Model consensus shows minimal deviation today, though any late-afternoon convective development or measurement adjustments at urban stations could shift the exact high by 1°C. Cooling and rainfall arrive after September 7, but today's stable high-pressure pattern locks in the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,356結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and real-time observations confirm peak temperatures reaching 33–34°C under sunny to partly cloudy skies on September 5, with low precipitation risk and light southerly winds. This aligns with the market's near-certain 34°C outcome, as September upper-level ridging has sustained warm advection across the Sichuan Basin, consistent with historical early-September maxima. Model consensus shows minimal deviation today, though any late-afternoon convective development or measurement adjustments at urban stations could shift the exact high by 1°C. Cooling and rainfall arrive after September 7, but today's stable high-pressure pattern locks in the current trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions