Official forecasts from monitoring agencies and real-time observations confirm a daily maximum of 34°C in Chengdu on September 5 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and low humidity around 40%, consistent with the subtropical high-pressure pattern sustaining highs of 32–34°C in recent days. This consensus, reflected in the market-implied 100% probability for 34°C, stems from hourly model runs showing the peak occurring in the afternoon without significant convective development or cooling from precipitation. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include unexpected late-day cloud buildup or a slight downward revision in official station data if measurement timing or microclimate effects differ from model expectations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日成都最高溫度？
9月5日成都最高溫度？
34°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$38,201 交易量
$38,201 交易量
2026-09-05
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或以上
<1%
34°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$38,201 交易量
$38,201 交易量
2026-09-05
28°C或以下
$1,156 交易量
<1%
29°C
$2,114 交易量
<1%
30°C
$879 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,664 交易量
<1%
32°C
$3,767 交易量
<1%
33°C
$4,734 交易量
<1%
34°C
$7,592 交易量
100%
35°C
$6,158 交易量
<1%
36°C
$3,861 交易量
<1%
37°C
$1,409 交易量
<1%
38°C或以上
$4,868 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from monitoring agencies and real-time observations confirm a daily maximum of 34°C in Chengdu on September 5 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and low humidity around 40%, consistent with the subtropical high-pressure pattern sustaining highs of 32–34°C in recent days. This consensus, reflected in the market-implied 100% probability for 34°C, stems from hourly model runs showing the peak occurring in the afternoon without significant convective development or cooling from precipitation. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include unexpected late-day cloud buildup or a slight downward revision in official station data if measurement timing or microclimate effects differ from model expectations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$38,201結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from monitoring agencies and real-time observations confirm a daily maximum of 34°C in Chengdu on September 5 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and low humidity around 40%, consistent with the subtropical high-pressure pattern sustaining highs of 32–34°C in recent days. This consensus, reflected in the market-implied 100% probability for 34°C, stems from hourly model runs showing the peak occurring in the afternoon without significant convective development or cooling from precipitation. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include unexpected late-day cloud buildup or a slight downward revision in official station data if measurement timing or microclimate effects differ from model expectations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$38,201結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETOfficial forecasts from monitoring agencies and real-time observations confirm a daily maximum of 34°C in Chengdu on September 5 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and low humidity around 40%, consistent with the subtropical high-pressure pattern sustaining highs of 32–34°C in recent days. This consensus, reflected in the market-implied 100% probability for 34°C, stems from hourly model runs showing the peak occurring in the afternoon without significant convective development or cooling from precipitation. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include unexpected late-day cloud buildup or a slight downward revision in official station data if measurement timing or microclimate effects differ from model expectations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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