Recent clearing after scattered August rainfall has boosted surface heating under mostly sunny skies in the Sichuan Basin, where subsidence and light easterly winds favor strong diurnal warming. Official and model guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak near 33–35°C on August 31, with local urban stations potentially recording 1–2°C higher due to the heat-island effect and reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus around 35–36°C reflects this consensus while incorporating minor upside from forecast revisions and measurement variability at official sites. Historical late-August maxima in Chengdu average near 34°C, providing context for the narrow distribution. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine resolution odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日成都最高溫度？
8月31日成都最高溫度？
36°C 45%
35°C 34%
34°C 12%
37°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
12%
35°C
34%
36°C
45%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 45%
35°C 34%
34°C 12%
37°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
29°C or below
$636 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,157 交易量
<1%
31°C
$545 交易量
<1%
32°C
$454 交易量
2%
33°C
$557 交易量
4%
34°C
$892 交易量
12%
35°C
$898 交易量
34%
36°C
$2,421 交易量
45%
37°C
$1,291 交易量
6%
38°C
$495 交易量
1%
39°C or higher
$376 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent clearing after scattered August rainfall has boosted surface heating under mostly sunny skies in the Sichuan Basin, where subsidence and light easterly winds favor strong diurnal warming. Official and model guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak near 33–35°C on August 31, with local urban stations potentially recording 1–2°C higher due to the heat-island effect and reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus around 35–36°C reflects this consensus while incorporating minor upside from forecast revisions and measurement variability at official sites. Historical late-August maxima in Chengdu average near 34°C, providing context for the narrow distribution. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$9,722結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent clearing after scattered August rainfall has boosted surface heating under mostly sunny skies in the Sichuan Basin, where subsidence and light easterly winds favor strong diurnal warming. Official and model guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak near 33–35°C on August 31, with local urban stations potentially recording 1–2°C higher due to the heat-island effect and reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus around 35–36°C reflects this consensus while incorporating minor upside from forecast revisions and measurement variability at official sites. Historical late-August maxima in Chengdu average near 34°C, providing context for the narrow distribution. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,722結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent clearing after scattered August rainfall has boosted surface heating under mostly sunny skies in the Sichuan Basin, where subsidence and light easterly winds favor strong diurnal warming. Official and model guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak near 33–35°C on August 31, with local urban stations potentially recording 1–2°C higher due to the heat-island effect and reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus around 35–36°C reflects this consensus while incorporating minor upside from forecast revisions and measurement variability at official sites. Historical late-August maxima in Chengdu average near 34°C, providing context for the narrow distribution. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine resolution odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions