**Current forecasts position 31–32°C as the most probable range for Busan’s highest temperature on August 31, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities (32°C at 51%, 31°C at 24.5%).** Multiple models, including those referenced by WeatherBug, Met Office, and others, indicate daytime highs near 30–31.7°C (roughly 86–89°F) under partly cloudy to stormy conditions with 40–70% rain chances. Southwesterly winds and high humidity (around 70–80%) are expected to support these values while moderating extreme peaks. Recent developments reinforce this clustering: persistent late-summer warmth combined with a stationary front has maintained perceived temperatures near 33°C amid showers, with official advisories noting daytime maxima of 30–32°C through the period. Rain and cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty that could cap the high below 33°C or allow brief spikes toward it, consistent with the smaller probabilities assigned to 33°C (15.5%) and higher outcomes. Historical late-August baselines for Busan (typically 29–32°C) further anchor trader sentiment around these levels, with resolution hinging on official Korea Meteorological Administration observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日釜山的最高溫度？
8月31日釜山的最高溫度？
32°C 51%
31°C 26%
33°C 16%
30°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
26%
32°C
51%
33°C
16%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
32°C 51%
31°C 26%
33°C 16%
30°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
26°C or below
$197 交易量
<1%
27°C
$5 交易量
<1%
28°C
$562 交易量
1%
29°C
$918 交易量
2%
30°C
$1,407 交易量
7%
31°C
$1,071 交易量
26%
32°C
$2,200 交易量
51%
33°C
$699 交易量
16%
34°C
$758 交易量
3%
35°C
$115 交易量
<1%
36°C或以上
$364 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts position 31–32°C as the most probable range for Busan’s highest temperature on August 31, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities (32°C at 51%, 31°C at 24.5%).** Multiple models, including those referenced by WeatherBug, Met Office, and others, indicate daytime highs near 30–31.7°C (roughly 86–89°F) under partly cloudy to stormy conditions with 40–70% rain chances. Southwesterly winds and high humidity (around 70–80%) are expected to support these values while moderating extreme peaks.
Recent developments reinforce this clustering: persistent late-summer warmth combined with a stationary front has maintained perceived temperatures near 33°C amid showers, with official advisories noting daytime maxima of 30–32°C through the period. Rain and cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty that could cap the high below 33°C or allow brief spikes toward it, consistent with the smaller probabilities assigned to 33°C (15.5%) and higher outcomes. Historical late-August baselines for Busan (typically 29–32°C) further anchor trader sentiment around these levels, with resolution hinging on official Korea Meteorological Administration observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$8,298結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts position 31–32°C as the most probable range for Busan’s highest temperature on August 31, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities (32°C at 51%, 31°C at 24.5%).** Multiple models, including those referenced by WeatherBug, Met Office, and others, indicate daytime highs near 30–31.7°C (roughly 86–89°F) under partly cloudy to stormy conditions with 40–70% rain chances. Southwesterly winds and high humidity (around 70–80%) are expected to support these values while moderating extreme peaks.
Recent developments reinforce this clustering: persistent late-summer warmth combined with a stationary front has maintained perceived temperatures near 33°C amid showers, with official advisories noting daytime maxima of 30–32°C through the period. Rain and cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty that could cap the high below 33°C or allow brief spikes toward it, consistent with the smaller probabilities assigned to 33°C (15.5%) and higher outcomes. Historical late-August baselines for Busan (typically 29–32°C) further anchor trader sentiment around these levels, with resolution hinging on official Korea Meteorological Administration observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,298結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Current forecasts position 31–32°C as the most probable range for Busan’s highest temperature on August 31, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities (32°C at 51%, 31°C at 24.5%).** Multiple models, including those referenced by WeatherBug, Met Office, and others, indicate daytime highs near 30–31.7°C (roughly 86–89°F) under partly cloudy to stormy conditions with 40–70% rain chances. Southwesterly winds and high humidity (around 70–80%) are expected to support these values while moderating extreme peaks. Recent developments reinforce this clustering: persistent late-summer warmth combined with a stationary front has maintained perceived temperatures near 33°C amid showers, with official advisories noting daytime maxima of 30–32°C through the period. Rain and cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty that could cap the high below 33°C or allow brief spikes toward it, consistent with the smaller probabilities assigned to 33°C (15.5%) and higher outcomes. Historical late-August baselines for Busan (typically 29–32°C) further anchor trader sentiment around these levels, with resolution hinging on official Korea Meteorological Administration observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions