Persistent humid conditions and widespread cloud cover from showers or thunderstorms are anchoring market-implied odds near 24–26°C for Busan’s August 31 minimum. Southwesterly flow off the warm Yellow Sea maintains elevated dew points near 24–26°C, suppressing radiative cooling overnight, while light winds limit mixing. Scattered convection and high relative humidity (often 75–90%) trap longwave radiation, keeping lows from dropping below the mid-20s. Model runs show only modest spread in timing and coverage of overnight rain, which explains the tight clustering around 25°C (27.5%), 26°C (27.0%), and 24°C (26.5%). Any clearer skies or stronger onshore breeze could push the actual minimum toward the lower edge of that range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日是釜山的最低溫度?
25°C 29%
26°C 28%
24°C 27%
22°C 26%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
26%
23°C
25%
24°C
27%
25°C
29%
26°C
28%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
6%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 29%
26°C 28%
24°C 27%
22°C 26%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
26%
23°C
25%
24°C
27%
25°C
29%
26°C
28%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
6%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent humid conditions and widespread cloud cover from showers or thunderstorms are anchoring market-implied odds near 24–26°C for Busan’s August 31 minimum. Southwesterly flow off the warm Yellow Sea maintains elevated dew points near 24–26°C, suppressing radiative cooling overnight, while light winds limit mixing. Scattered convection and high relative humidity (often 75–90%) trap longwave radiation, keeping lows from dropping below the mid-20s. Model runs show only modest spread in timing and coverage of overnight rain, which explains the tight clustering around 25°C (27.5%), 26°C (27.0%), and 24°C (26.5%). Any clearer skies or stronger onshore breeze could push the actual minimum toward the lower edge of that range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions