**Cooler-than-average conditions driven by a fresh polar air mass and strong southwesterly winds are positioning 12–13°C as the leading outcomes for Buenos Aires’ daily maximum on September 5, 2026.** Multiple forecast models, including those referenced by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international sources, converge on a high near 12–13°C (roughly 54°F) under clear to partly cloudy skies, with brisk winds limiting daytime warming. This represents a notable departure from the month’s climatological average maximum of around 19–20°C. Recent observations confirm the arrival of cooler air following a frontal passage, with overnight lows dropping into the single digits and limited cloud cover allowing efficient radiative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward 13°C (61.5% implied probability) and secondary support at 12°C and 14°C, aligns closely with this model agreement, while lower-probability outcomes above 15°C or below 11°C remain remote given the stable synoptic pattern and absence of warmer advection. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will provide final confirmation for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
9月5日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
13°C 62%
12°C 19%
14°C 17%
11°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
7°C或以下
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
19%
13°C
62%
14°C
17%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C或以上
2%
13°C 62%
12°C 19%
14°C 17%
11°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
7°C或以下
$495 交易量
<1%
8°C
$490 交易量
<1%
9°C
$356 交易量
<1%
10°C
$130 交易量
1%
11°C
$486 交易量
4%
12°C
$1,337 交易量
19%
13°C
$2,411 交易量
62%
14°C
$2,505 交易量
17%
15°C
$1,015 交易量
3%
16°C
$221 交易量
1%
17°C或以上
$122 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cooler-than-average conditions driven by a fresh polar air mass and strong southwesterly winds are positioning 12–13°C as the leading outcomes for Buenos Aires’ daily maximum on September 5, 2026.** Multiple forecast models, including those referenced by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international sources, converge on a high near 12–13°C (roughly 54°F) under clear to partly cloudy skies, with brisk winds limiting daytime warming. This represents a notable departure from the month’s climatological average maximum of around 19–20°C. Recent observations confirm the arrival of cooler air following a frontal passage, with overnight lows dropping into the single digits and limited cloud cover allowing efficient radiative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward 13°C (61.5% implied probability) and secondary support at 12°C and 14°C, aligns closely with this model agreement, while lower-probability outcomes above 15°C or below 11°C remain remote given the stable synoptic pattern and absence of warmer advection. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will provide final confirmation for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$9,568結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cooler-than-average conditions driven by a fresh polar air mass and strong southwesterly winds are positioning 12–13°C as the leading outcomes for Buenos Aires’ daily maximum on September 5, 2026.** Multiple forecast models, including those referenced by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international sources, converge on a high near 12–13°C (roughly 54°F) under clear to partly cloudy skies, with brisk winds limiting daytime warming. This represents a notable departure from the month’s climatological average maximum of around 19–20°C. Recent observations confirm the arrival of cooler air following a frontal passage, with overnight lows dropping into the single digits and limited cloud cover allowing efficient radiative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward 13°C (61.5% implied probability) and secondary support at 12°C and 14°C, aligns closely with this model agreement, while lower-probability outcomes above 15°C or below 11°C remain remote given the stable synoptic pattern and absence of warmer advection. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will provide final confirmation for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,568結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ET**Cooler-than-average conditions driven by a fresh polar air mass and strong southwesterly winds are positioning 12–13°C as the leading outcomes for Buenos Aires’ daily maximum on September 5, 2026.** Multiple forecast models, including those referenced by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international sources, converge on a high near 12–13°C (roughly 54°F) under clear to partly cloudy skies, with brisk winds limiting daytime warming. This represents a notable departure from the month’s climatological average maximum of around 19–20°C. Recent observations confirm the arrival of cooler air following a frontal passage, with overnight lows dropping into the single digits and limited cloud cover allowing efficient radiative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward 13°C (61.5% implied probability) and secondary support at 12°C and 14°C, aligns closely with this model agreement, while lower-probability outcomes above 15°C or below 11°C remain remote given the stable synoptic pattern and absence of warmer advection. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will provide final confirmation for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions