Skip to main content
icon for 嘉義市市長選舉優勝者
選舉·主要選舉

嘉義市市長選舉優勝者

icon for 嘉義市市長選舉優勝者
選舉·主要選舉

嘉義市市長選舉優勝者

張其楷 48%

陳凱煌 47%

翁淑良 6.2%

黃宏成 0

Polymarket
最新

張其楷 48%

陳凱煌 47%

翁淑良 6.2%

黃宏成 0

Polymarket
最新
icon for 張其楷

張其楷

$0 交易量

48%

icon for 陳凱煌

陳凱煌

$0 交易量

47%

icon for 翁淑良

翁淑良

$210 交易量

6%

icon for 黃宏成

黃宏成

$57 交易量

41%

icon for 陳家平

陳家平

$21 交易量

48%

icon for 王美惠

王美惠

$40 交易量

52%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Mei-hui holds a modest edge in trader pricing for the November 2026 Chiayi City mayoral election, reflecting the Democratic Progressive Party legislator's established local profile and a split opposition vote. The Kuomintang nominee Weng Shou-liang trails significantly, while Taiwan People's Party candidate Chang Chi-kai and several other contenders cluster near even odds, limiting any single challenger's consolidation of anti-DPP support. Spring 2026 surveys showed Wang ahead by roughly six points, with stronger backing among older voters offsetting opposition strength among younger cohorts. The fragmented field and absence of major late-breaking shifts in nominations or alliances have sustained the tight positioning, though upcoming campaign developments or unified opposition efforts could alter momentum ahead of the November 28 vote.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$328
結束日期
2026-11-28
市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 9:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Mei-hui holds a modest edge in trader pricing for the November 2026 Chiayi City mayoral election, reflecting the Democratic Progressive Party legislator's established local profile and a split opposition vote. The Kuomintang nominee Weng Shou-liang trails significantly, while Taiwan People's Party candidate Chang Chi-kai and several other contenders cluster near even odds, limiting any single challenger's consolidation of anti-DPP support. Spring 2026 surveys showed Wang ahead by roughly six points, with stronger backing among older voters offsetting opposition strength among younger cohorts. The fragmented field and absence of major late-breaking shifts in nominations or alliances have sustained the tight positioning, though upcoming campaign developments or unified opposition efforts could alter momentum ahead of the November 28 vote.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$328
結束日期
2026-11-28
市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 9:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

相關

icon for 蔡易餘會贏得下一屆嘉義縣縣長選舉嗎？

蔡易餘會贏得下一屆嘉義縣縣長選舉嗎？

87%
是
icon for 蔣萬安會贏得下屆台北市長選舉嗎？

蔣萬安會贏得下屆台北市長選舉嗎？

90%
是
icon for 賴瑞隆會贏得下一屆高雄市長選舉嗎？

賴瑞隆會贏得下一屆高雄市長選舉嗎？

55%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"嘉義市市長選舉優勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "王美惠" at 52%, followed by "張其楷" at 48%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"嘉義市市長選舉優勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "嘉義市市長選舉優勝者," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "嘉義市市長選舉優勝者" is "王美惠" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "張其楷" at 48%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "嘉義市市長選舉優勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.